Bayesian inverse ensemble forecasting for COVID‐19
Abstract Variations in strains of COVID‐19 have a significant impact on the rate of surges and on the accuracy of forecasts of the epidemic dynamics. The primary goal for this article is to quantify the effects of varying strains of COVID‐19 on ensemble forecasts of individual “surges.” By modelling the disease dynamics with an SIR model, we solve the ...
Kimberly Kroetch, Don Estep
wiley +1 more source
Variational adaptive Gaussian approximation filter for nonlinear systems with generalized unknown disturbances. [PDF]
Qin Y, Lv J, Li S, Hou Y.
europepmc +1 more source
Non‐negative Gaussian estimation of variance components in random effects models
Abstract When used to estimate variance components (VCs), confidence intervals (CIs) can be truncated at zero, have a point estimate not in the quoted CI, be empty with positive probability, or be all‐inclusive. This is because they have conflicting dual roles, since they are considered to cover the parameter with a specified probability while also ...
André Plante, Michael Plante
wiley +1 more source
Decision-Making in Repeated Games: Insights from Active Inference. [PDF]
Yuan H, Wang L, Gao W, Tao T, Fan C.
europepmc +1 more source
A partial envelope approach for modelling multivariate spatial‐temporal data
Abstract In the new era of big data, modelling multivariate spatial‐temporal data is a challenging task due to both the high dimensionality of the features and complex associations among the responses across different locations and time points.
Reisa Widjaja +3 more
wiley +1 more source
A prior-sampling conditional variational autoencoder for neuroimaging normative modelling: Benchmarking deep learning against statistical approaches. [PDF]
Ho MP +5 more
europepmc +1 more source
Traditional dosing strategies often rely on a “one‐size‐fits‐all” paradigm, assuming an “average” patient with typical demographic and pharmacological characteristics. In reality, this often overlooks existing between‐patient variability and can lead to suboptimal drug exposure or toxicity. This issue is especially pronounced in pediatric patients, who
Zachary L. Taylor +12 more
wiley +1 more source
Disease progression modeling of Alzheimer's disease based on variational probability principal component analysis. [PDF]
Xiong X +4 more
europepmc +1 more source
Landscape of Research on Accounting Scope 3 Emissions: A Review of Methodologies and Data
ABSTRACT Scope 3 emissions have been proposed as a critical metric for evaluating corporate carbon footprint, identifying emission sources, and developing mitigation solutions. Yet, widespread corporate reporting of Scope 3 emissions remains limited, highlighting a critical gap in both research and practice.
Zeyu Wang +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Computational parametric mapping of functional neuroimaging data. [PDF]
Steinkamp SR +4 more
europepmc +1 more source

