Results 191 to 200 of about 9,540,414 (299)

Explaining Episodes of High Inflation: Demand‐ and Supply‐Side Drivers in Times of Uncertainty

open access: yesInternational Journal of Finance &Economics, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT In this paper, we investigate the extent to which uncertainty anticipates episodes of high inflation in 30 economies worldwide. Our analysis accounts for several factors, including inflation expectations, real global economic activity, and supply chain disruptions.
Maria‐Eleni K. Agoraki   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Exchange Rates and Sovereign Risk: A Nonlinear Approach Based on Local Gaussian Correlations

open access: yesInternational Journal of Finance &Economics, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We empirically assess the interlinkages between sovereign risk, measured in terms of CDS spreads, and exchange rates for a sample of emerging markets. Our period of analysis includes episodes of severe stress, such as the Global Financial Crisis, the COVID‐19 pandemic, and the Ukrainian War.
Reinhold Heinlein   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Alternative Data for Realised Volatility Forecasting: Limit Order Book and News Stories

open access: yesInternational Journal of Finance &Economics, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We examine whether two major alternative data sources, limit order book information and firm‐specific news, provide incremental predictive information for daily realised volatility forecasting within the HAR‐family, using a parsimonious framework to ensure practical implementation and comparability. The framework is designed for practical real‐
Eghbal Rahimikia, Ser‐Huang Poon
wiley   +1 more source

Risk Forecasting in Shipping Exchange‐Traded‐Fund (ETF) Markets

open access: yesInternational Journal of Finance &Economics, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This article examines the risk properties of freight‐derivative‐based exchange‐traded funds (ETFs), focusing on the Breakwave Dry Bulk Shipping ETF (BDRY), and evaluates the accuracy of Value‐at‐Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) forecasts across a range of econometric models.
Christos Katris   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Stock Price Deviations From Fundamentals Levels: Mis‐Valuation due to Investor Overconfidence?

open access: yesInternational Journal of Finance &Economics, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We use the Residual Income Valuation Model to obtain fundamental values for sample stocks in six Eurozone markets. We then estimate the deviation between the fundamental values and actual stock prices. Subsequently, we examine whether these deviations can be systematically explained by business cycle trends, trends in local economic sentiment,
Stella N. Spilioti   +1 more
wiley   +1 more source

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