Valuation effects of U.S. monetary policy tightening: The roles of foreign exposure. [PDF]
Fang X, Peng X.
europepmc +1 more source
Explaining Episodes of High Inflation: Demand‐ and Supply‐Side Drivers in Times of Uncertainty
ABSTRACT In this paper, we investigate the extent to which uncertainty anticipates episodes of high inflation in 30 economies worldwide. Our analysis accounts for several factors, including inflation expectations, real global economic activity, and supply chain disruptions.
Maria‐Eleni K. Agoraki +2 more
wiley +1 more source
The psychological toll of financial volatility: compulsive habits, gambling parallels, and social policy implications. [PDF]
Dote-Pardo J +2 more
europepmc +1 more source
Exchange Rates and Sovereign Risk: A Nonlinear Approach Based on Local Gaussian Correlations
ABSTRACT We empirically assess the interlinkages between sovereign risk, measured in terms of CDS spreads, and exchange rates for a sample of emerging markets. Our period of analysis includes episodes of severe stress, such as the Global Financial Crisis, the COVID‐19 pandemic, and the Ukrainian War.
Reinhold Heinlein +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Dynamic financial tail risk networks: A backtesting-based conditional expected shortfall approach. [PDF]
Zhang D, Yan X, Shen F.
europepmc +1 more source
Alternative Data for Realised Volatility Forecasting: Limit Order Book and News Stories
ABSTRACT We examine whether two major alternative data sources, limit order book information and firm‐specific news, provide incremental predictive information for daily realised volatility forecasting within the HAR‐family, using a parsimonious framework to ensure practical implementation and comparability. The framework is designed for practical real‐
Eghbal Rahimikia, Ser‐Huang Poon
wiley +1 more source
Characteristics and dynamic evolution of inter-industry volatility spillovers in China's stock market. [PDF]
Xie F, Wei H.
europepmc +1 more source
Risk Forecasting in Shipping Exchange‐Traded‐Fund (ETF) Markets
ABSTRACT This article examines the risk properties of freight‐derivative‐based exchange‐traded funds (ETFs), focusing on the Breakwave Dry Bulk Shipping ETF (BDRY), and evaluates the accuracy of Value‐at‐Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) forecasts across a range of econometric models.
Christos Katris +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Research on the Tail Risk Spillover Effect of Cryptocurrencies and Energy Market Based on Complex Network. [PDF]
Gong XL, Wang XT.
europepmc +1 more source
Stock Price Deviations From Fundamentals Levels: Mis‐Valuation due to Investor Overconfidence?
ABSTRACT We use the Residual Income Valuation Model to obtain fundamental values for sample stocks in six Eurozone markets. We then estimate the deviation between the fundamental values and actual stock prices. Subsequently, we examine whether these deviations can be systematically explained by business cycle trends, trends in local economic sentiment,
Stella N. Spilioti +1 more
wiley +1 more source

