Results 151 to 160 of about 1,824 (264)
Explaining Episodes of High Inflation: Demand‐ and Supply‐Side Drivers in Times of Uncertainty
ABSTRACT In this paper, we investigate the extent to which uncertainty anticipates episodes of high inflation in 30 economies worldwide. Our analysis accounts for several factors, including inflation expectations, real global economic activity, and supply chain disruptions.
Maria‐Eleni K. Agoraki +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Exchange Rates and Sovereign Risk: A Nonlinear Approach Based on Local Gaussian Correlations
ABSTRACT We empirically assess the interlinkages between sovereign risk, measured in terms of CDS spreads, and exchange rates for a sample of emerging markets. Our period of analysis includes episodes of severe stress, such as the Global Financial Crisis, the COVID‐19 pandemic, and the Ukrainian War.
Reinhold Heinlein +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Alternative Data for Realised Volatility Forecasting: Limit Order Book and News Stories
ABSTRACT We examine whether two major alternative data sources, limit order book information and firm‐specific news, provide incremental predictive information for daily realised volatility forecasting within the HAR‐family, using a parsimonious framework to ensure practical implementation and comparability. The framework is designed for practical real‐
Eghbal Rahimikia, Ser‐Huang Poon
wiley +1 more source
Risk Forecasting in Shipping Exchange‐Traded‐Fund (ETF) Markets
ABSTRACT This article examines the risk properties of freight‐derivative‐based exchange‐traded funds (ETFs), focusing on the Breakwave Dry Bulk Shipping ETF (BDRY), and evaluates the accuracy of Value‐at‐Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) forecasts across a range of econometric models.
Christos Katris +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Stock Price Deviations From Fundamentals Levels: Mis‐Valuation due to Investor Overconfidence?
ABSTRACT We use the Residual Income Valuation Model to obtain fundamental values for sample stocks in six Eurozone markets. We then estimate the deviation between the fundamental values and actual stock prices. Subsequently, we examine whether these deviations can be systematically explained by business cycle trends, trends in local economic sentiment,
Stella N. Spilioti +1 more
wiley +1 more source
Realistic Representation, Dynamic Evolution and Determinants of Institutional Quality in China
ABSTRACT The paper delves into the role of institutional quality in bolstering China's economic resilience post‐COVID‐19, CITIC‐Entropy. It divides institutions into basic and changeable categories, establishing an index system via the CITIC‐Entropy TOPSIS model.
Susu Wang, Qidi Zhang, Jing Fang
wiley +1 more source
THE SOVEREIGN BOND MARKETS RETURN AND VOLATILITY SPILLOVERS
The aim of this paper is to apply the spillover index methodology developed by Diebold and Yilmaz (2009, 2012) to investigate the role individual sovereign bond markets play in international sovereign bond market volatility spillovers. Daily data for 19 developed and developing countries from four continents is used in order to estimate fixed and time ...
openaire +2 more sources
ABSTRACT Introduction Politicized cyber shaming recodes adolescents' cultural interests as evidence of political loyalty or moral belonging. This study examines how such shaming is associated with longer‐term identity tension in adolescence, focusing on public expression, peer belonging, and self‐evaluation after politicized online controversy ...
Linsen Yang
wiley +1 more source
Monetary Policy Shocks and Exchange Rate Dynamics in Small Open Economies
ABSTRACT This paper investigates whether the effects of monetary policy shocks on real exchange rates have changed over time and, if so, whether these changes stem from shifts in transmission mechanisms or from variation in the volatility of the shocks themselves.
Madison Terrell +3 more
wiley +1 more source
ABSTRACT In the course of a workday, employees attend to various tasks whose challenge might be equal to, higher than, or lower than employees' present level of capabilities. Moreover, employees encounter these tasks sequentially throughout the day with different levels of prior motivation. Investigating carryover effects in motivation from one task to
Sherry (Qiang) Fu +4 more
wiley +1 more source

