Results 41 to 50 of about 448,336 (218)

Weather Prediction in Babylonia

open access: yesJournal of Ancient Near Eastern History, 2020
AbstractThis paper addresses developments in the prediction of weather phenomena in Late Babylonian scholarly texts. Previously published and unpublished texts are analyzed and the underlying methods are compared with omen-based weather prognostication, developments in Babylonian astronomical prediction and reporting practices in the astronomical ...
openaire   +2 more sources

Uncertainty in weather and climate prediction [PDF]

open access: yesPhilosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 2011
Following Lorenz's seminal work on chaos theory in the 1960s, probabilistic approaches to prediction have come to dominate the science of weather and climate forecasting. This paper gives a perspective on Lorenz's work and how it has influenced the ways in which we seek to represent uncertainty in forecasts on all lead times from hours to decades.
Slingo, J, Palmer, T
openaire   +3 more sources

Hybrid Post-Processing on GEFSv12 Reforecast for Summer Maximum Temperature Ensemble Forecasts with an Extended-Range Time Scale over Taiwan

open access: yesAtmosphere, 2023
Taiwan is highly susceptible to global warming, experiencing a 1.4 °C increase in air temperature from 1911 to 2005, which is twice the average for the Northern Hemisphere.
Malasala Murali Nageswararao   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Predicting the Weather [PDF]

open access: yesNature, 1973
Weather Forecasting as a Problem in Physics. By Andrei S. Monin. Translated by Paul Superak. Pp. x + 199. (MIT: Cambridge, Massachusetts and London, December 1972.) $12.50.
openaire   +2 more sources

Geostationary Precipitation Estimates by PDF Matching Technique over the Asia-Pacific and Its Improvement by Incorporating with Surface Data

open access: yesAtmosphere, 2023
An Infrared (IR)-passive microwave (PMW) blended technique is developed to derive precipitation estimates over the Asia-Pacific domain through calibrating the temperature of brightness blackbody from the Japanese Himawari-8 satellite to precipitation ...
Yun-Lan Chen   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

Offline Diagnostics of Skin Sea Surface Temperature from a Prognostic Scheme and Its Application in Typhoon Forecasting Using the CMA-TRAMS Model over South China

open access: yesAtmosphere, 2022
In the Tropical Regional Atmospherical Model System of South China of the China Meteorological Administration (CMA-TRAMS), the skin sea surface temperature (Ts) remains fixed during the forecast time.
Yanxia Zhang   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

10–30‐day moist static energy evolutions related to the persistent heavy rainfall event in different stages of flood season over South China

open access: yesAtmospheric Science Letters, 2023
In this study, the flood season in South China (SC) was divided into three stages: two first rainy seasons (FRSs) around the South China Sea summer monsoon onset and one second rainy season when Typhoon prevails, denoted as FRS1, FRS2, and SRS ...
Bin Zheng, Ailan Lin, Yanyan Huang
doaj   +1 more source

Dynamical Seasonal Prediction of the Asian Summer Monsoon in the China Meteorological Administration Climate Prediction System Version 3

open access: yesFrontiers in Earth Science, 2022
Based on the 20 years of ensemble hindcast data, we evaluated the performance of the new version climate prediction system developed by the China Meteorological Administration (CMA CPSv3) on the Asian summer monsoon (ASM) seasonal prediction in this ...
Xiaoyun Liang   +5 more
doaj   +1 more source

Improvements of the shock arrival times at the Earth model STOA

open access: yes, 2015
Prediction of the shocks' arrival times (SATs) at the Earth is very important for space weather forecast. There is a well-known SAT model, STOA, which is widely used in the space weather forecast.
Liu, H. -L., Qin, G.
core   +1 more source

A Time-spectral Approach to Numerical Weather Prediction

open access: yes, 2017
Finite difference methods are traditionally used for modelling the time domain in numerical weather prediction (NWP). Time-spectral solution is an attractive alternative for reasons of accuracy and efficiency and because time step limitations associated ...
Lindvall, Kristoffer   +2 more
core   +1 more source

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