Results 181 to 190 of about 117,410 (266)

Towards improving Arctic mixed‐phase cloud representation in the ECMWF model using MOSAiC observations

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Abstract The presence of Arctic clouds plays a crucial role in the evolution of the surface temperature of Arctic sea ice. However, large biases in cloud representation remain in state‐of‐the‐art weather and climate models. In this study, we use observational data from the one‐year Arctic ship campaign Multi‐disciplinary drifting Observatory for the ...
Luise Schulte   +5 more
wiley   +1 more source

Epistemic and aleatoric uncertainty quantification in weather and climate models

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Aleatoric and epistemic uncertainties over time on weather and climate time‐scales, estimated through ensembles that sample aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty using Bayesian neural networks for parameterisations in the Lorenz 1996 model. The spread shows the 16th and 84th percentiles.
Laura A. Mansfield   +1 more
wiley   +1 more source

A framework to evaluate and identify development requirements for land‐surface models at km‐scale resolution: Application to a semi‐arid and mountainous region

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
This article provides a first evaluation of land‐surface models at the km‐scale resolutions at which they are used in weather and Earth‐system models. At these resolutions, the lateral transfers of water that organize landscapes play an important role in predicting evaporation correctly. Riparian processes and human water management for irrigation need
Jan Polcher   +13 more
wiley   +1 more source

The evaluation of boundary‐layer turbulence in high‐resolution numerical weather prediction simulations using Doppler lidar

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
A new method compares both kilometer and sub‐kilometre weather model simulations with Doppler lidar observations to assess the representation of boundary‐layer turbulence. While bulk boundary‐layer properties are well represented, vertical velocity variance is strongly underestimated in both simulations.
Natalie J. Harvey   +7 more
wiley   +1 more source

Home - About - Disclaimer - Privacy