Results 31 to 40 of about 3,892 (288)
BackgroundCommunicating scientific uncertainty about public health threats such as COVID-19 is an ethically desirable task endorsed by expert guidelines on crisis communication. However, the communication of scientific uncertainty is challenging because
Han, Paul K J +7 more
doaj +1 more source
Neural correlates of decision-making under ambiguity and conflict
Studies of decision making under uncertainty generally focus on imprecise information about outcome probabilities (ambiguity). It is not clear, however, whether conflicting information about outcome probabilities affects decision making in the same ...
Helen ePushkarskaya +4 more
doaj +1 more source
Better the devil you know than the devil you don't: Neural processing of risk and ambiguity
Risk and ambiguity are inherent in virtually all human decision-making. Risk refers to a situation in which we know the precise probability of potential outcomes of each option, whereas ambiguity refers to a situation in which outcome probabilities are ...
Shuyi Wu +4 more
doaj +1 more source
Ambiguity Aversion, Risk Aversion, and Asset Pricing
I study the effects of aversion to risk and ambiguity (uncertainty in the sense of Knight (1921)) on the value of the market portfolio when investors receive information that they find difficult to link to fundamentals and hence treat as ambiguous.
Philipp K. Illeditsch
openalex +2 more sources
Good luck, bad luck, and ambiguity aversion [PDF]
We report a series of experiments investigating the influence of feeling lucky or unlucky on people's choice of known-risk or ambiguous options using the traditional Ellsberg Urns decision-making task.
Briony D. Pulford, Poonam Gill
doaj +3 more sources
The Fundamental Equity Premium and Ambiguity Aversion in an International Context
Stocks are riskier than bonds. This causes a risk premium for stocks. That the size of this premium, however, seems to be larger than risk aversion alone can explain the so-called “equity premium puzzle”.
Minh Hai Ngo +2 more
doaj +1 more source
Delegated Portfolio Management Under Ambiguity Aversion [PDF]
zbMATH Open Web Interface contents unavailable due to conflicting licenses.
Annalisa Fabretti +2 more
openalex +6 more sources
Ambiguity Aversion is the Exception [PDF]
An extensive literature has studied ambiguity aversion in economic decision making, and how ambiguity aversion can account for empirically observed violations of expected utility-based theories. Almost all relevant applied models presume a general dislike of ambiguity.
Martin G. Kocher +2 more
openaire +5 more sources
Value-at-risk under ambiguity aversion
This study explored the effects of ambiguity on the calculation of Value-at-Risk (VaR) using a mathematical model based on the theory of Choquet-Brownian processes. It was found that while a moderate degree of ambiguity aversion yields a higher value for
Rossella Agliardi
doaj +1 more source
Ambiguity Aversion and Variance Premium [PDF]
This paper oers an ambiguity-based interpretation of variance premium— the dier- ence between risk-neutral and objective expectations of market return variance— as a com- pounding eect of both belief distortion and variance dierential regarding the uncertain economic regimes.
Jianjun Miao, Bin Wei, Hao Zhou
openaire +2 more sources

