Results 1 to 10 of about 47 (38)

Modeling Markov Switching ARMA-GARCH Neural Networks Models and an Application to Forecasting Stock Returns [PDF]

open access: yesThe Scientific World Journal, 2014
The study has two aims. The first aim is to propose a family of nonlinear GARCH models that incorporate fractional integration and asymmetric power properties to MS-GARCH processes.
Melike Bildirici, Özgür Ersin
doaj   +3 more sources

Examination of information release on return volatility: A market and sectoral analysis [PDF]

open access: yesHeliyon, 2020
This paper examines the role of information release in explaining the return volatility of the Australian equity market. The study applies proxies of greater accuracy to examine the effect of public and private information on return volatility.
Mason Prasad   +2 more
exaly   +4 more sources

Forecasting BDI Sea Freight Shipment Cost, VIX Investor Sentiment and MSCI Global Stock Market Indicator Indices: LSTAR-GARCH and LSTAR-APGARCH Models

open access: yesMathematics, 2023
Prediction of the economy in global markets is of crucial importance for individuals, decisionmakers, and policies. To this end, effectiveness in modeling and forecasting the directions of such leading indicators is of crucial importance.
Melike BİLDİRİCİ   +2 more
exaly   +3 more sources

Hybrid deep learning and GARCH-family models for forecasting volatility of cryptocurrencies

open access: yesMachine Learning With Applications, 2023
The combination of Deep Learning and GARCH-type models has been proved to be superior to the single models in forecasting of volatility in various markets such as energy, main metals, and especially stock markets.
Salim Lahmiri
exaly   +3 more sources

The impact of ESG news on the volatility of the Portuguese stock market—Does it change during recessions?

open access: yesBusiness Strategy and the Environment, Volume 32, Issue 8, Page 5821-5832, December 2023., 2023
Abstract This paper assesses how environmental, social, and governance (ESG) news influence Portuguese stock market volatility depending on the business cycle. Given the lack of an adequate index to capture the effects of ESG media on the Portuguese stock market, a News Sentiment Index is developed.
Cássio Zanatto   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Can black swans be tamed with a flexible mean‐variance specification?

open access: yesInternational Journal of Finance &Economics, Volume 27, Issue 3, Page 3202-3227, July 2022., 2022
Abstract We examine the homogeneity of the highly improbable returns, what practitioners and the mainstream economic press also call black swan events. By setting up a simple framework and using the benchmark stock market indices of all OECD countries, we find that the frequency of black swans varies greatly over the last two decades often with ...
Vasiliki Chatzikonstanti   +1 more
wiley   +1 more source

Attention‐based novel neural network for mixed frequency data

open access: yesCAAI Transactions on Intelligence Technology, Volume 6, Issue 3, Page 301-311, September 2021., 2021
Abstract It is a common fact that data (features, characteristics or variables) are collected at different sampling frequencies in some fields such as economic and industry. The existing methods usually either ignore the difference from the different sampling frequencies or hardly take notice of the inherent temporal characteristics in mixed frequency ...
Xiangpeng Li   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

PAY PİYASALARINDA VOLATİLİTE TAHMİNLEMESİ: BORSA İSTANBUL MALİ VE SINAİ ENDEKSLERİ ÜZERİNE BİR UYGULAMA

open access: yesMehmet Akif Ersoy Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, 2019
Bu çalışmada, Borsa İstanbul (BIST) Mali (XUMAL)ve Sınai (XUSIN) Endekslerinin 07.01.2007-03.02.2019 dönemine ilişkin haftalıklogaritmik getirileri ele alınarak volatilite tahminlemesi yapılmasıamaçlanmıştır.
İlhan Ege, Tuğba Nur Topaloğlu
doaj   +1 more source

GENERALIZED ASYMMETRIC POWER ARCH MODELING OF NATIONAL STOCK MARKET RETURNS

open access: yesSosyal Ekonomik Araştırmalar Dergisi, 2009
Uygulamalı çalışmalar finansal varlık getirilerinin şişman kuyruk (leptokurtosis) özelliği sergilediklerini ve genellikle oynaklık kümelenmesi ve asimetrik yapı ile nitelendirildiklerini göstermiştir.
Mert Ural
doaj   +4 more sources

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