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A new automatic forecasting method based on explainable deep dendritic artificial neural network. [PDF]
Bas E, Egrioglu E.
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Hybrid signal decomposition and deep learning framework for vehicle-vehicle crash forecasting. [PDF]
Zhou J +5 more
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Infant mortality rates in Ghana: progress toward sustainable development goal 3. [PDF]
Opoku S, Adama ZK, Abuga S.
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Bayesian Inference for ARFIMA Models
Journal of Time Series Analysis, 2019This article develops practical methods for Bayesian inference in the autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average (ARFIMA) model using the exact likelihood function, any proper prior distribution, and time series that may have thousands of observations.
Durham, Garland +3 more
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BAYESIAN ANALYSIS OF VECTOR ARFIMA PROCESSES
Australian Journal of Statistics, 1997SummaryA general framework is presented for Bayesian inference of multivariate time series exhibiting long‐range dependence. The series are modelled using a vector autoregressive fractionally integrated moving‐average (VARFIMA) process, which can capture both short‐term correlation structure and long‐range dependence characteristics of the individual ...
Ravishanker, Nalini, Ray, Bonnie K.
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Consistent order selection for ARFIMA processes
The Annals of Statistics, 2022zbMATH Open Web Interface contents unavailable due to conflicting licenses.
Huang, Hsueh-Han +3 more
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Jeffrey's divergence between ARFIMA processes
Digital Signal Processing, 2018Abstract The symmetric Kullback–Leibler divergence known as Jeffrey's divergence (JD) has found applications in signal and image processing, from radar clutter modeling to texture analysis. Recently, several studies were done on the JD between ergodic wide-sense stationary autoregressive (AR) and/or moving average (MA) processes.
Mahdi Saleh +2 more
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Adaptive ARFIMA models with applications to inflation
Economic Modelling, 2012Abstract Many previous analyses of inflation have used either long memory or nonlinear time series models. This paper suggests a simple adaptive modification of the basic ARFIMA model, which uses a flexible Fourier form to allow for a time varying intercept.
Morana, C, Baillie, RT
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Regularised Estimators for ARFIMA Processes
IFAC Proceedings Volumes, 2012Abstract Stochastic processes with long-range dependence are found in many applications. ARFIMA models can be used to characterise both their short-term correlations and the phenomenon of long-range dependence. Maximum likelihood estimates of the model parameters have nice statistical properties but are ill-conditioned and hard to compute.
Oskar Vivero, William P. Heath
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An Evaluation of ARFIMA Programs
Volume 9: 13th ASME/IEEE International Conference on Mechatronic and Embedded Systems and Applications, 2017Strong coupling between values at different time that exhibit properties of long range dependence, non-stationary, spiky signals cannot be processed by the conventional time series analysis. The ARFIMA model, which employs the fractional order signal processing techniques, is the generalization of the conventional integer order models — ARIMA and ARMA ...
Kai Liu, Xi Zhang, YangQuan Chen
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