Results 1 to 10 of about 367 (185)

Hybridization of long short-term memory neural network in fractional time series modeling of inflation [PDF]

open access: yesFrontiers in Big Data, 2023
Inflation is capable of significantly impacting monetary policy, thereby emphasizing the need for accurate forecasts to guide decisions aimed at stabilizing inflation rates.
Erman Arif   +4 more
doaj   +2 more sources

Considerations for Applying Entropy Methods to Temporally Correlated Stochastic Datasets [PDF]

open access: yesEntropy, 2023
The goal of this paper is to highlight considerations and provide recommendations for analytical issues that arise when applying entropy methods, specifically Sample Entropy (SampEn), to temporally correlated stochastic datasets, which are representative
Joshua Liddy, Michael Busa
doaj   +2 more sources

Modeling Long Memory Volatilities of Nigeria Selected Macro Economic Variables with Arfima and Arfima Figarch

open access: yesCumhuriyet Science Journal
The research delved into analysing the stochastic characteristics of Nigeria's Real GDP, the exchange rate of the Naira to US Dollar, and the inflation rate employing Autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average (ARFIMA) and the Autoregressive ...
Ayoade Adewole
doaj   +3 more sources

The hybrid model of autoregressive integrated moving average and fuzzy time series Markov chain on long-memory data

open access: yesFrontiers in Applied Mathematics and Statistics, 2022
IntroductionThe price of crude oil as an essential commodity in the world economy shows a pattern and identifies the component factors that influence it in the short and long term.
Dodi Devianto   +4 more
doaj   +1 more source

Evaluating the Effectiveness of GARCH Models in the Estimation of Systematic Risk in listed companies of the Tehran Stock Exchange [PDF]

open access: yesJournal of Asset Management and Financing, 2020
The stock market of each country, in addition to reflecting its economic structure, is considered as an important source of capital Circulation of that country.
nemat rastgoo, Hossein panahian
doaj   +1 more source

PEMODELAN DATA HARGA CABAI DENGAN PENDEKATAN DERET WAKTU FRAKSIONAL ARFIMA

open access: yesJurnal Lebesgue, 2023
Long-memory is a type of time series data that has a high correlation between long observation times. This can be seen from the autocorrelation function where the lag falls slowly over a long period. Such long-memory data can be modeled in the form of an
Elsa Wahyuni   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

BOOTSTRAP ASSISTED SPECIFICATION TESTS FOR THE ARFIMA MODEL [PDF]

open access: yesEconometric Theory, 2011
This paper proposes bootstrap assisted specification tests for the autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average model based on the BartlettTp-process with estimated parameters whose limiting distribution under the null depends on the estimated model and the estimation method employed.
Delgado, Miguel A.   +2 more
openaire   +2 more sources

Forecasting realised volatility using ARFIMA and HAR models [PDF]

open access: yesQuantitative Finance, 2019
Recent literature provides mixed empirical evidence with respect to the forecasting performance of ARFIMA and HAR models. This paper compares the forecasting performance of both models using high frequency data of 100 stocks representing 10 business sectors for the period 2000-2010.
Marwan Izzeldin   +3 more
openaire   +2 more sources

SMALL-SAMPLE LIKELIHOOD-BASED INFERENCE IN THE ARFIMA MODEL [PDF]

open access: yesEconometric Theory, 2000
The autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average (ARFIMA) model has become a popular approach for analyzing time series that exhibit long-range dependence. For the Gaussian case, there have been substantial advances in the area of likelihood-based inference, including development of the asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood ...
Offer Lieberman   +2 more
openaire   +4 more sources

The Comparison between ARIMA and ARFIMA Model to Forecast Kijang Emas (Gold) Prices in Malaysia using MAE, RMSE and MAPE

open access: yesJournal of Computing Research and Innovation, 2021
Gold is known as the most valuable commodity in the world because it is a universal currency recognized by every single bank across the globe. Thus, many people were interested in investing gold since gold market was always steadier compared to other ...
Atiqa Nur Azza Mahmad Azan   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

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