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Kredi Temerrüt Takası Primlerinin Oynaklığında Uzun Hafıza ve Etkin Piyasa Hipotezi - Fraktal Piyasa Hipotezi Sınaması: Türkiye Örneği

open access: yesGaziantep Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 2021
Bu çalışmada, Türkiye’nin 2010 – 2020 dönemine ait ülke Kredi Temerrüt Takası Primlerinin finansal zaman serisi olarak özellikleri araştırılmış, parametrik ve yarı parametrik ön testler uygulanmıştır.
Mustafa Çevik, Süleyman Serdar Karaca
doaj   +1 more source

Modelling exchange rate volatility with random level shifts [PDF]

open access: yes, 2016
Recent literature has shown that the volatility of exchange rate returns displays long memory features. It has also been shown that if a short memory process is contaminated by level shifts, the estimate of the long memory parameter tends to be upward ...
Li, Ye, Perron, Pierre, Xu, Jiawen
core   +1 more source

A Forecasting Model for Japan's Unemployment Rate [PDF]

open access: yesEurasian Journal of Business and Economics, 2010
This note aims to achieve a parsimonious fractionally-integrated autoregressive and moving average (ARFIMA) model for recent time series data of Japan's unemployment rate. A brief review of the ARFIMA model is provided, leading to econometric modeling of
Takamitsu KURITA
doaj  

Growth enterprise market in Hong Kong: Efficiency evolution and long memory in return and volatility [PDF]

open access: yesJournal of Asian Business and Economic Studies, 2020
Purpose – Growth enterprise market (GEM) in Hong Kong is acknowledged as one of the world’s most successful examples of small and medium enterprise (SME) stock market.
Trang Nguyen   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

FORECASTING THE UNEMPLOYMENT RATE IN MALAYSIA DURING COVID-19 PANDEMIC USING ARIMA AND ARFIMA MODELS

open access: yesMalaysian Journal of Computing, 2022
The unemployment issue is one of the most common problems faced by many countries around the world. The unemployment rates in developed countries often fluctuate throughout time.
Nur Afiqah Ismail   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

ARFIMA Model for Short Term Forecasting of New Death Cases COVID-19 [PDF]

open access: yesE3S Web of Conferences, 2020
COVID-19 is an infectious disease that can spread from one person to another and has a high potential for death. The infection of COVID-19 is spreading massive and fast that causes the extreme fluctuating data spread and long memory effects.
Kartikasari Puspita   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

Analisis Kejadian Gempa Bumi Tektonik di Wilayah Pulau Sumatera

open access: yesJurnal Matematika, 2016
The purpose of this study to get an overview of the earthquakes in Sumatra. The method used is descriptive statistics and models Autoregressive Fractionally Integrated Moving Average (ARFIMA). The result from analysis data yielded a mathematical model to
Jose Rizal   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Forecasting long range dependent time series with exogenous variable using ARFIMAX model

open access: yesThe Indian Journal of Agricultural Sciences, 2020
Time series analysis and forecasting is one of the challenging issues of statistical modelling. Modelling of price and forecasting is a vital matter of concern for both the farming community and policy makers, especially in agriculture.
Krishna Pada Sarkar   +6 more
doaj   +1 more source

Modeling and Forecasting the Volatility of the Nikkei 225 Realized Volatility Using the ARFIMA-GARCH Model [PDF]

open access: yes
In this paper, we apply the ARFIMA-GARCH model to the realized volatility and the continuous sample path variations constructed from high-frequency Nikkei 225 data.
Isao Ishida, Toshiaki Watanabe
core   +6 more sources

AUTOREGRESSIVE FRACTIONAL INTEGRATED MOVING AVERAGE (ARFIMA) MODEL TO PREDICT COVID-19 PANDEMIC CASES IN INDONESIA

open access: yesMedia Statistika, 2021
Currently the emergence of the novel coronavirus (Sars-Cov-2), which causes the COVID-19 pandemic and has become a serious health problem because of the high risk causes of death.
Puspita Kartikasari   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

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