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Bu çalışmada, Türkiye’nin 2010 – 2020 dönemine ait ülke Kredi Temerrüt Takası Primlerinin finansal zaman serisi olarak özellikleri araştırılmış, parametrik ve yarı parametrik ön testler uygulanmıştır.
Mustafa Çevik, Süleyman Serdar Karaca
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Modelling exchange rate volatility with random level shifts [PDF]
Recent literature has shown that the volatility of exchange rate returns displays long memory features. It has also been shown that if a short memory process is contaminated by level shifts, the estimate of the long memory parameter tends to be upward ...
Li, Ye, Perron, Pierre, Xu, Jiawen
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A Forecasting Model for Japan's Unemployment Rate [PDF]
This note aims to achieve a parsimonious fractionally-integrated autoregressive and moving average (ARFIMA) model for recent time series data of Japan's unemployment rate. A brief review of the ARFIMA model is provided, leading to econometric modeling of
Takamitsu KURITA
doaj
Growth enterprise market in Hong Kong: Efficiency evolution and long memory in return and volatility [PDF]
Purpose – Growth enterprise market (GEM) in Hong Kong is acknowledged as one of the world’s most successful examples of small and medium enterprise (SME) stock market.
Trang Nguyen +3 more
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FORECASTING THE UNEMPLOYMENT RATE IN MALAYSIA DURING COVID-19 PANDEMIC USING ARIMA AND ARFIMA MODELS
The unemployment issue is one of the most common problems faced by many countries around the world. The unemployment rates in developed countries often fluctuate throughout time.
Nur Afiqah Ismail +2 more
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ARFIMA Model for Short Term Forecasting of New Death Cases COVID-19 [PDF]
COVID-19 is an infectious disease that can spread from one person to another and has a high potential for death. The infection of COVID-19 is spreading massive and fast that causes the extreme fluctuating data spread and long memory effects.
Kartikasari Puspita +2 more
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Analisis Kejadian Gempa Bumi Tektonik di Wilayah Pulau Sumatera
The purpose of this study to get an overview of the earthquakes in Sumatra. The method used is descriptive statistics and models Autoregressive Fractionally Integrated Moving Average (ARFIMA). The result from analysis data yielded a mathematical model to
Jose Rizal +3 more
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Forecasting long range dependent time series with exogenous variable using ARFIMAX model
Time series analysis and forecasting is one of the challenging issues of statistical modelling. Modelling of price and forecasting is a vital matter of concern for both the farming community and policy makers, especially in agriculture.
Krishna Pada Sarkar +6 more
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Modeling and Forecasting the Volatility of the Nikkei 225 Realized Volatility Using the ARFIMA-GARCH Model [PDF]
In this paper, we apply the ARFIMA-GARCH model to the realized volatility and the continuous sample path variations constructed from high-frequency Nikkei 225 data.
Isao Ishida, Toshiaki Watanabe
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Currently the emergence of the novel coronavirus (Sars-Cov-2), which causes the COVID-19 pandemic and has become a serious health problem because of the high risk causes of death.
Puspita Kartikasari +2 more
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