Results 31 to 40 of about 4,901 (213)
Indonesia, a nation in Southeast Asia, has a wealth of natural resources that could serve as the basis for future economic growth. Increased exports of natural resources are crucial for market expansion, job creation, foreign exchange gains, and economic
Putri Hazizah Rahwani +2 more
doaj +1 more source
In this survey paper we present a systematic methodology of how to identify origins of fractional dynamics. We consider three models leading to it, namely fractional Brownian motion (FBM), fractional Lévy stable motion (FLSM) and autoregressive ...
Weron Aleksander
doaj +1 more source
Semiparametric Conditional Quantile Models for Financial Returns and Realized Volatility [PDF]
This paper investigates how the conditional quantiles of future returns and volatility of financial assets vary with various measures of ex-post variation in asset prices as well as option-implied volatility.
Barunik, Jozef, Zikes, Filip
core +2 more sources
Comparing the bias and misspecification in ARFIMA models [PDF]
We investigate the bias in both the short‐term and long‐term parameters for a range of autoregressive fractional integrated moving‐average (ARFIMA) models using both semi‐parametric and maximum likelihood (ML) estimation methods. The results suggest that, provided the correct model is estimated, the ML method outperforms the semi‐parametric methods in ...
Smith, Jeremy +2 more
openaire +2 more sources
On the invertibility in periodic ARFIMA models
The present paper, characterizes the invertibility and causality conditions of a periodic ARFIMA (PARFIMA) models. We first, discuss the conditions in the multivariate case, by considering the corresponding p-variate stationary ARFIMA models. Second, we construct the conditions using the univariate case and we deduce a new infinite autoregressive ...
Amimour, Amine, Belaide, Karima
openaire +2 more sources
Wavelet based long memory model for modelling wheat price in India
Agricultural time-series data concerning production, prices, export and import of several agricultural commodities is published by Indian government along with other private agricultural sectors every year.
RANJIT KUMAR PAUL +2 more
doaj +1 more source
ABSTRACT We study the accuracy of a variety of parametric price duration‐based realized variance estimators constructed via various financial duration models and compare their forecasting performance with the performance of various nonparametric return‐based realized variance estimators.
Björn Schulte‐Tillmann +2 more
wiley +1 more source
The objective of present study was to investigate the efficiency of Autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average model with exogenous input (ARFIMAX) in forecasting price of Indian mustard [Brassica juncea (L.) Czern. & Coss].
RANJIT KUMAR PAUL +4 more
doaj +1 more source
Error and Model Misspecification in ARFIMA Process
In developing the long and short memory estimation, it is usually assumed that the innovations in the ARFIMA model are normally distributed. However, circumstances may occur where this assumption is not true. This paper uses Monte Carlo simulation to evaluate the robustness of different estimators of the fractional parameter in stationary and ...
Valderio A. Reisen +2 more
openaire +2 more sources
ABSTRACT One of the critical risks associated with cryptocurrency assets is the so‐called downside risk, or tail risk. Conditional Value‐at‐Risk (CVaR) is a measure of tail risks that is not normally considered in the construction of a cryptocurrency portfolio.
Xinran Huang +3 more
wiley +1 more source

