Results 61 to 70 of about 13,793,172 (210)

PENERAPAN MODEL ARFIMA (AUTOREGRESSIVE FRACTIONALLY INTEGRATED MOVING AVERAGE) [PDF]

open access: yes, 2009
ABSTRAK. Beberapa metode pemodelan time series telah dikembangkan. Metode yang paling umum digunakan adalah ARIMA. ARIMA sangat efektif digunakan untuk memodelkan data yang tidak stasioner, yang ditunjukkan oleh plot ACF yang turun secara eksponensial ...
Winita Sulandari, M.Si.   +1 more
core  

S&P 500 microstructure noise components: empirical inferences from futures and ETF prices

open access: yesJournal of Time Series Analysis, Volume 46, Issue 6, Page 1032-1063, November 2025.
By studying the differences between futures prices and exchange‐traded fund prices for the S&P 500 index, original results are obtained about the distribution and persistence of the microstructure noise component created by positive bid‐ask spreads and discrete price scales.
Stephen J. Taylor
wiley   +1 more source

Evaluation of Dual Long Memory Properties with Emphasizing the Skewed and Fat-Tail Distribution: Evidence from Tehran Stock Exchange [PDF]

open access: yesMuṭāli̒āt-i Mudīriyyat-i Ṣan̒atī, 2014
This paper investigates the presence of long memory in the Tehran stock market, using the ARFIMA, GPH, GSP and FIGARCH models. The data set consists of daily returns, and long memory tests are carried out both for the returns and volatilities of TEPIX ...
Mohammad Javad Mohagheghnia   +3 more
doaj  

Previsão de preços futuros de Commodities agrícolas com diferenciações inteira e fracionária, e erros heteroscedásticos

open access: yesRevista de Economia e Sociologia Rural, 2007
O presente trabalho tem como objetivo modelar séries temporais para efeito de previsão com diferenciações inteira e fracionária, utilizando dados de preços futuros de commodities agrícolas.
Ricardo Chaves Lima   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

Local powers of least‐squares‐based test for panel fractional Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process

open access: yesJournal of Time Series Analysis, Volume 46, Issue 5, Page 997-1023, September 2025.
In recent years, significant advancements have been made in the field of identifying financial asset price bubbles, particularly through the development of time‐series unit‐root tests featuring fractionally integrated errors and panel unit‐root tests.
Katsuto Tanaka, Weilin Xiao, Jun Yu
wiley   +1 more source

Wavelet Covariance Matrix Structure and Bayesian-Wavelet Estimation of Autoregressive Process Parameters with Long-Term Memory

open access: yesپژوهش‌های ریاضی, 2020
Introduction The data obtained from observing a phenomenon over time is very common. One of the most popular models in time series and signal processing is the Autoregressive moving average model (ARMA).
Mahmod Afshari   +2 more
doaj  

Network traffic prediction based on ARFIMA model

open access: yesCoRR, 2013
ARFIMA is a time series forecasting model, which is an improved ARMA model, the ARFIMA model proposed in this article is demonstrated and deduced in detail. combined with network traffic of CERNET backbone and the ARFIMA model,the result shows that,compare to the ARMA model, the prediction efficiency and accuracy has increased significantly, and not ...
Dingding Zhou   +2 more
openaire   +2 more sources

Forecasting Digital Asset Return: An Application of Machine Learning Model

open access: yesInternational Journal of Finance &Economics, Volume 30, Issue 3, Page 3169-3186, July 2025.
ABSTRACT In this study, we aim to identify the machine learning model that can overcome the limitations of traditional statistical modelling techniques in forecasting Bitcoin prices. Also, we outline the necessary conditions that make the model suitable.
Vito Ciciretti   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

Local Whittle estimation in time‐varying long memory series

open access: yesJournal of Time Series Analysis, Volume 46, Issue 4, Page 647-673, July 2025.
The memory parameter is usually assumed to be constant in traditional long memory time series. We relax this restriction by considering the memory a time‐varying function that depends on a finite number of parameters. A time‐varying Local Whittle estimator of these parameters, and hence of the memory function, is proposed.
Josu Arteche, Luis F. Martins
wiley   +1 more source

A Generalized ARFIMA Process with Markov-Switching Fractional Differencing Parameter [PDF]

open access: yes
We propose a general class of Markov-switching-ARFIMA processes in order to combine strands of long memory and Markov-switching literature. Although the coverage of this class of models is broad, we show that these models can be easily estimated with the
Wolfgang Härdle, Wen-Jen Tsay
core  

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