Results 21 to 30 of about 6,621,438 (152)

Forecasting energy futures volatility based on the unbiased extreme value volatility estimator

open access: yesIIMB Management Review, 2017
This paper uses the opening, high, low, and closing prices of five energy futures to estimate and model volatility based on the unbiased extreme value volatility estimator (the Add RS estimator).
Dilip Kumar
doaj   +1 more source

ARFIMA Model for Short Term Forecasting of New Death Cases COVID-19 [PDF]

open access: yesE3S Web of Conferences, 2020
COVID-19 is an infectious disease that can spread from one person to another and has a high potential for death. The infection of COVID-19 is spreading massive and fast that causes the extreme fluctuating data spread and long memory effects.
Kartikasari Puspita   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

Previsão de preços futuros de Commodities agrícolas com diferenciações inteira e fracionária, e erros heteroscedásticos

open access: yesRevista de Economia e Sociologia Rural, 2007
O presente trabalho tem como objetivo modelar séries temporais para efeito de previsão com diferenciações inteira e fracionária, utilizando dados de preços futuros de commodities agrícolas.
Ricardo Chaves Lima   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

Preliminary estimation of ARFIMA models

open access: yes, 2000
In this article a new estimator for ARFIMA models is proposed.
CORDUAS, MARCELLA, Marcella Corduas
core   +2 more sources

Investigation of Fractal Market Hypothesis in Emerging Markets: Evidence from the MINT Stock Markets

open access: yesOrganizations and Markets in Emerging Economies, 2022
This study aims to investigate the market efficiency of emerging stock markets, namely the Mexico, Indonesia, Nigeria, and Turkey (MINT) stock markets based on the Fractal Market Hypothesis.
Yunus Karaömer
doaj   +1 more source

Predicting the Long-Term Dependencies in Time Series Using Recurrent Artificial Neural Networks

open access: yesMachine Learning and Knowledge Extraction, 2023
Long-term dependence is an essential feature for the predictability of time series. Estimating the parameter that describes long memory is essential to describing the behavior of time series models.
Cristian Ubal   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Uma avaliação da volatilidade dos preços da soja no mercado internacional com dados de alta frequência An evaluation of the volatility of soybeans prices in the international market using high frequency data

open access: yesGestão & Produção, 2012
Neste trabalho foram avaliados os ajustes de cinco modelos para previsão da variância, utilizando-se uma série de preços de soja, uma commodity negociada na bolsa de mercadorias de Chicago (CBOT), com dados de alta frequência. Os modelos utilizados foram
Mario Domingues Simões   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Partial Time‐Varying Regression Modelling Under General Heterogeneity

open access: yesJournal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This paper studies a semiparametric time‐varying regression model in which a subset of regressors is associated with fixed parameters, while the remaining regressors have parameters that evolve smoothly over time. We propose a closed‐form semiparametric Frisch‐Waugh‐Lovell estimator for the fixed parameters, and a non‐parametric kernel type ...
Liudas Giraitis   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

On the Efficacy of ARFIMA, ARTFIMA, and MARFIMA Models in Forecasting Nigerian Crude Oil Prices

open access: yesUMYU Scientifica Journal
This study presents a comprehensive evaluation of three advanced long-memory time series models— the Autoregressive Fractionally Integrated Moving Average (ARFIMA), the Autoregressive Tempered Fractionally Integrated Moving Average (ARTFIMA), and the ...
Musa Tasi’u   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Forecasting long range dependent time series with exogenous variable using ARFIMAX model

open access: yesThe Indian Journal of Agricultural Sciences, 2020
Time series analysis and forecasting is one of the challenging issues of statistical modelling. Modelling of price and forecasting is a vital matter of concern for both the farming community and policy makers, especially in agriculture.
Krishna Pada Sarkar   +6 more
doaj   +1 more source

Home - About - Disclaimer - Privacy