Results 51 to 60 of about 23,794,745 (244)
ARFIMA Modelling for Tectonic Earthquakes in The Maluku Region
Maluku Province is one of the regions in Indonesia with a very active and very prone earthquake intensity because it is a meeting place for 3 (three) plates, namely the Eurasian, Pacific and Australian plates. In the last 100 years, the history of tectonic earthquakes with tsunamis that occurred in Indonesia was 25-30% occurring in the Maluku Sea and ...
Ferry Kondo Lembang +2 more
openaire +2 more sources
In this paper, we model edge traffic with a conformable fractional partial differential equation that keeps memory in time and space. The solution represents a unit‐free attack pressure, built from a z‐scored edge series, a quiet period baseline, and a partially absorbing boundary that reflects scrubbing and rate limits.
Ahmad Alshanty +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Wavelet based long memory model for modelling wheat price in India
Agricultural time-series data concerning production, prices, export and import of several agricultural commodities is published by Indian government along with other private agricultural sectors every year.
RANJIT KUMAR PAUL +2 more
doaj +1 more source
Combining long memory and level shifts in modeling and forecasting the volatility of asset returns [PDF]
We propose a parametric state space model of asset return volatility with an accompanying estimation and forecasting framework that allows for ARFIMA dynamics, random level shifts and measurement errors.
Perron, Pierre, Varneskov, Rasmus T.
core
A brief history of long memory: Hurst, Mandelbrot and the road to ARFIMA [PDF]
Long memory plays an important role in many fields by determining the behaviour and predictability of systems; for instance, climate, hydrology, finance, networks and DNA sequencing.
Franzke, Christian +3 more
core +3 more sources
Fractional Gaussian Noise: Spectral Density and Estimation Methods
The fractional Brownian motion (fBm) process, governed by a fractional parameter H∈(0,1)$$ H\in \left(0,1\right) $$, is a continuous‐time Gaussian process with its increment being the fractional Gaussian noise (fGn). This article first provides a computationally feasible expression for the spectral density of fGn.
Shuping Shi, Jun Yu, Chen Zhang
wiley +1 more source
S&P 500 microstructure noise components: empirical inferences from futures and ETF prices
By studying the differences between futures prices and exchange‐traded fund prices for the S&P 500 index, original results are obtained about the distribution and persistence of the microstructure noise component created by positive bid‐ask spreads and discrete price scales.
Stephen J. Taylor
wiley +1 more source
Forecasting cryptocurrency prices time series using machine learning approach [PDF]
This paper describes the construction of the short-term forecasting model of cryptocurrencies’ prices using machine learning approach. The modified model of Binary Auto Regressive Tree (BART) is adapted from the standard models of regression trees and ...
Derbentsev Vasily +3 more
doaj +1 more source
Local powers of least‐squares‐based test for panel fractional Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process
In recent years, significant advancements have been made in the field of identifying financial asset price bubbles, particularly through the development of time‐series unit‐root tests featuring fractionally integrated errors and panel unit‐root tests.
Katsuto Tanaka, Weilin Xiao, Jun Yu
wiley +1 more source
The task of forecasting the dynamics of changes in the rates of financial instruments is relevant, since its solution would reduce risks and increase the profitability of operations in financial markets.
Pyotr Mikhailovich Simonov +1 more
doaj +1 more source

