Results 71 to 80 of about 12,105 (264)

A Fusion of Statistical and Machine Learning Methods: GARCH-XGBoost for Improved Volatility Modelling of the JSE Top40 Index

open access: yesInternational Journal of Financial Studies
Volatility modelling is a key feature of financial risk management, portfolio optimisation, and forecasting, particularly for market indices such as the JSE Top40 Index, which serves as a benchmark for the South African stock market.
Israel Maingo   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

Perbandingan Model AR(1), ARMA (1,1), dan ARIMA (1,1,1) pada Prediksi Tinggi Muka Air Sungai Bengawan Solo pada Pos Pemantauan Jurug

open access: yesMUST: Journal of Mathematics Education, Science and Technology, 2018
Suatu aliran sungai menentukan prediksi debit sungai sulit, biasanya nilai yang digunakan sebagai patokan adalah hasil pantauan tinggi muka air. Pada bulan Juli 2016, luapan sungai Bengawan Solo mengakibatkan banjir di kawasan Solo Timur.
Retno Tri Vulandari   +1 more
doaj   +1 more source

On the stability of nonlinear ARMA models [PDF]

open access: yes
In the present paper we study the stability of a class of nonlinear ARMA models. We derive a sufficient condition to ensure the geometric ergodicity and we apply it to a very general threshold ARMA model imposing a mild assumption on the ...
Fonseca Giovanni
core  

On Misspecified ARMA Model Fittings to Exponential Processes [PDF]

open access: yes, 2015
We investigate some properties on a misspecified Gaussian ARMA(p,q) model fitting to Exponential processes with order 2 (abbreviated to EX(2) process).
Tanaka, Minoru
core   +1 more source

Winners and losers in subarctic moth communities in a changing climate: Marine regime shifts as predictors for terrestrial insect biomass

open access: yesInsect Conservation and Diversity, EarlyView.
1972–2017, the total moth biomass ina subarctic community had a positive trend but biomass trends differ betweenmoth groups based on taxonomy, phenology and resource use. In the northern latitudes,outbreaking species impact greatly moth biomass Moth biomass is associated withtemperature variables and marine Regime shifts, which can be effective ...
Julia J. J. Fält‐Nardmann   +7 more
wiley   +1 more source

ARMA Identification of Graphical Models

open access: yesIEEE Transactions on Automatic Control, 2013
Consider a Gaussian stationary stochastic vector process with the property that designated pairs of components are conditionally independent given the rest of the components. Such processes can be represented on a graph where the components are nodes and the lack of a connecting link between two nodes signifies conditional independence. This leads to a
Enrico Avventi   +2 more
openaire   +3 more sources

Simplified Machine Diagnosis Techniques Using ARMA Model of Absolute Deterioration Factor

open access: yes, 2007
In order to diagnose machines accurately, the Kurtosis and Bicoherence methods were utilized. Calculating system parameter distance was also utilized to apply time series data to Autoregressive (AR) model or Autoregressive Moving Average (ARMA) model. In
石井, 康夫   +3 more
core  

Forecasting of Carbon Price Based on Boosting-ARMA Model

open access: yes, 2017
自回归滑动平均(ARMA)模型是最流行的预测模型之一,而模型选择却是使用ARMA进行预测的难点,尤其是当真实模型的阶数较高时,因此提出Boosting-ARMA预测算法,利用Boosting算法进行最优子集ARMA寻找,自动且高效地完成ARMA模型的识别。模拟实验显示,Boosting-ARMA优于其他方法,用新算法预测碳价实证分析发现,Boosting-ARMA算法可以获得较高的碳价预测准确性并且方便快捷。Autoregressive moving average (ARMA) model is ...
王娜
core   +1 more source

A Comparative Review of Specification Tests for Diffusion Models

open access: yesInternational Statistical Review, EarlyView.
Summary Diffusion models play an essential role in modelling continuous‐time stochastic processes in the financial field. Therefore, several proposals have been developed in the last decades to test the specification of stochastic differential equations.
A. López‐Pérez   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Missing Values in Time Series: A Brief Review and a New Versatile Imputation Method

open access: yesInternational Statistical Review, EarlyView.
Summary Missing data can significantly hamper standard time series analysis, yet they occur frequently in applications. In this paper, we briefly review some available methods for handling missing values and introduce the temporal Wasserstein imputation, a novel method for imputing missing data in time series.
Shuo‐Chieh Huang   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

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