Results 21 to 30 of about 4,516 (208)

Estimation of the unemployment rate in Turkey: A comparison of the ARIMA and machine learning models including Covid-19 pandemic periods

open access: yesHeliyon, 2023
The article focuses on analyzing the robustness of Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) and Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) methods in unemployment rate estimation. In this context, a stochastic trend in the unemployment rate was determined
Dilek Surekci Yamacli, Serhan Yamacli
doaj   +1 more source

Modeling Markov Switching ARMA-GARCH Neural Networks Models and an Application to Forecasting Stock Returns

open access: yesThe Scientific World Journal, 2014
The study has two aims. The first aim is to propose a family of nonlinear GARCH models that incorporate fractional integration and asymmetric power properties to MS-GARCH processes.
Melike Bildirici, Özgür Ersin
doaj   +1 more source

Clustered Hybrid Wind Power Prediction Model Based on ARMA, PSO-SVM, and Clustering Methods

open access: yesIEEE Access, 2020
Wind power prediction is the key technology to the safe dispatch and stable operation of power system with large-scale integration of wind power. In this work, based on the historical data of wind power, wind speed and temperature, the autoregressive ...
Yurong Wang, Dongchuan Wang, Yi Tang
doaj   +1 more source

R-estimation for arma models [PDF]

open access: yesJournal of Nonparametric Statistics, 2001
This paper is devoted to the It-estimation problem for the parameter of a stationary ARMA model. The asymptotic uniform linearity of a suitable vector of rank statistics leads to the asymptotic normality of v/w-consistent R-estimates resulting from the minimization of the norm of this vector.
Allal, Jelloul   +2 more
openaire   +3 more sources

Prediction and Analysis of Meteorological Drought Based on Time Series(Case Study: SALMAS Watershed) [PDF]

open access: yesمحیط زیست و مهندسی آب, 2016
Time series analyses is a base method for more decisions about hydrological process and water operation. In Iran, drought is a continues and normal condition happening frequently and can be predicted by statistical and mathematical methods and models. In
Motaleb Byzedi   +2 more
doaj  

Measuring the Distance between Sets of ARMA Models

open access: yesEconometrics, 2016
A distance between pairs of sets of autoregressive moving average (ARMA) processes is proposed. Its main properties are discussed. The paper also shows how the proposed distance finds application in time series analysis.
Umberto Triacca
doaj   +1 more source

Testing a linear ARMA model against threshold-ARMA models: A Bayesian approach [PDF]

open access: yesCommunications in Statistics - Simulation and Computation, 2016
We introduce a Bayesian approach to test linear autoregressive moving-average (ARMA) models against threshold autoregressive moving-average (TARMA) models. Firstly, the marginal posterior densities of all parameters, including the threshold and delay, of a TARMA model are obtained by using Gibbs sampler with Metropolis-Hastings algorithm.
Liang, Rubing   +3 more
openaire   +2 more sources

The Relationship Between Interest Rates and Agricultural Commodity Price Dynamics

open access: yesAgribusiness, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT The U.S. Federal Reserve has undertaken several interest rate interventions in the past decade. This study explores the relationship between U.S. corn and soybean prices and Federal Reserve monetary policy interventions, in the short and long run.
Zhining Sun, Ani L. Katchova
wiley   +1 more source

Podemos prever a taxa de cambio brasileira? Evidência empírica utilizando inteligência computacional e modelos econométricos Can we forecast Brazilian exchange rates? Empirical evidences using computational intelligence and econometric models

open access: yesGestão & Produção, 2008
As abordagens de inteligência computacional, tais como sistemas nebulosos e redes neurais artificiais, têm-se gradualmente estabelecido como ferramentas robustas para a tarefa de aproximação de sistemas não-lineares complexos e previsão de séries ...
Leandro dos Santos Coelho   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

ROBUST FREQUENCY DOMAIN ARMA MODELLING

open access: yesIFAC Proceedings Volumes, 2006
In this paper a method for the rejection of frequency domain outliers is proposed. The algorithm is based on the work by Huber on M-estimators and the concept of influence function introduced by Ha ...
Gillberg, Jonas   +2 more
openaire   +4 more sources

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