Results 41 to 50 of about 4,516 (208)

Simultaneous Indirect Inference, Impulse Responses and ARMA Models

open access: yesEconometrics, 2020
A two-stage simulation-based framework is proposed to derive Identification Robust confidence sets by applying Indirect Inference, in the context of Autoregressive Moving Average (ARMA) processes for finite samples.
Lynda Khalaf, Beatriz Peraza López
doaj   +1 more source

Symbolic ARMA Model Analysis [PDF]

open access: yesComputational Economics, 2013
ARMA models provide a parsimonious and flexible mechanism for modeling the evolution of a time series. Some useful measures of these models (e.g., the autocorrelation function or the spectral density function) are tedious to compute by hand. This paper uses a computer algebra system, not simulation, to calculate measures of interest associated with ...
Keith H. Webb, Lawrence M. Leemis
openaire   +1 more source

Evaluating Forecasts at Multiple Horizons: An Extension of the Diebold–Mariano Approach

open access: yesJournal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Forecast accuracy tests are fundamental tools for comparing competing predictive models. The widely used Diebold–Mariano (DM) test assesses whether differences in forecast errors are statistically significant. However, its standard form is limited to pairwise comparisons at a single forecast horizon.
Andrew Grant   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Statistical modelling of Zimbabwe’s international tourist arrivals using both symmetric and asymmetric volatility models

open access: yesJournal of Economic and Financial Sciences, 2019
Orientation: Modelling of international tourist arrivals’ volatility is vital for marketing, planning, policy formulation and investment purposes among others.
Delson Chikobvu, Tendai Makoni
doaj   +1 more source

A Switchgrass-based Bioethanol Supply Chain Network Design Model under Auto-Regressive Moving Average Demand [PDF]

open access: yesJournal of Renewable Energy and Environment, 2016
Switchgrass is known as one of the best second-generation lignocellulosic biomasses for bioethanol production. Designing efficient switchgrass-based bioethanol supply chain (SBSC) is an essential requirement for commercializing the bioethanol production ...
Hamid Ghaderi   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

Using Deep Learning Conditional Value‐at‐Risk Based Utility Function in Cryptocurrency Portfolio Optimisation

open access: yesInternational Journal of Finance &Economics, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT One of the critical risks associated with cryptocurrency assets is the so‐called downside risk, or tail risk. Conditional Value‐at‐Risk (CVaR) is a measure of tail risks that is not normally considered in the construction of a cryptocurrency portfolio.
Xinran Huang   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Forbs in Viking lands: the effect of disturbing dominant graminoids on recruitment in tundra grasslands

open access: yesOikos, EarlyView.
Grasslands, by definition, are dominated by graminoids. Nevertheless, forbs also make up a substantial part of vascular plant diversity in grasslands and are important resources of mammalian herbivores. However, forb recruitment is constrained by successful dominant graminoids, limiting access to safe sites for germination.
Gerardo Celis   +5 more
wiley   +1 more source

Forecasting of currency exchange rates using an adaptive ARMA model with differential evolution based training

open access: yesJournal of King Saud University: Computer and Information Sciences, 2014
To alleviate the limitations of statistical based methods of forecasting of exchange rates, soft and evolutionary computing based techniques have been introduced in the literature.
Minakhi Rout   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Forecasting of Stock Returns with Non linear Models and the role of Trading Volume in Improving the Performance of These Models [PDF]

open access: yesتحقیقات مالی, 2012
Non-linear time series models have become fashionable tools to describe and forecast stock market returns in recent years. A significant amount of evidence supports a negative relationship between volume and future returns.
Ebrahim Abbasi, Sahar Bagheri
doaj   +1 more source

Snapshots of Motion: A Novel Structural Intermediate Reveals Conserved Dynamics in Archaeal DNA Ligases

open access: yesProteins: Structure, Function, and Bioinformatics, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We present the first x‐ray crystallographic structural evidence of an archaeal DNA ligase showing the AMP covalent adduct together with further cofactor hydrolysis, capturing a transient intermediary in the first step of the ligation reaction, triggered by the pyrophosphate hydrolysis.
A. X. Quintana‐Armas   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

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