Results 131 to 140 of about 4,998 (266)

Explosive Episodes and Time-Varying Volatility: A New MARMA–GARCH Model Applied to Cryptocurrencies

open access: yesEconometrics
Financial assets often exhibit explosive price surges followed by abrupt collapses, alongside persistent volatility clustering. Motivated by these features, we introduce a mixed causal–noncausal invertible–noninvertible autoregressive moving average ...
Alain Hecq, Daniel Velasquez-Gaviria
doaj   +1 more source

Automated Bandwidth Selection for Inference in Linear Models With Time‐Varying Coefficients

open access: yesJournal of Time Series Analysis, Volume 47, Issue 4, Page 854-875, July 2026.
ABSTRACT The problem of selecting the smoothing parameter, or bandwidth, for kernel‐based estimators of time‐varying coefficients in linear models with possibly endogenous explanatory variables is considered. We examine automated bandwidth selection by means of cross‐validation, a nonparametric variant of Akaike's information criterion, and bootstrap ...
Charisios Grivas, Zacharias Psaradakis
wiley   +1 more source

Using Subspace Algorithms for the Estimation of Linear State Space Models for Over-Differenced Processes

open access: yesEconometrics
Subspace algorithms like canonical variate analysis (CVA) are regression-based methods for the estimation of linear dynamic state space models. They have been shown to deliver accurate (consistent and asymptotically equivalent to quasi-maximum likelihood
Dietmar Bauer
doaj   +1 more source

Prediction intervals for nearly nonstationary AR(1)-processes [PDF]

open access: yes, 1993
We construct prediction intervals for the observations of first-order autoregressive processes when the model approaches a nonstationary situation with a unit root.
Ferretti, Nélida, Romo, Juan
core  

Snapshots of Motion: A Novel Structural Intermediate Reveals Conserved Dynamics in Archaeal DNA Ligases

open access: yesProteins: Structure, Function, and Bioinformatics, Volume 94, Issue 6, Page 1245-1258, June 2026.
ABSTRACT We present the first x‐ray crystallographic structural evidence of an archaeal DNA ligase showing the AMP covalent adduct together with further cofactor hydrolysis, capturing a transient intermediary in the first step of the ligation reaction, triggered by the pyrophosphate hydrolysis.
A. X. Quintana‐Armas   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Effect of Postweld Heat Treatment on Laser‐Welded Duplex Stainless Steel: Crystallographic Patterns and Fatigue Behavior

open access: yessteel research international, Volume 97, Issue 6, Page 3267-3281, June 2026.
Laser welding of duplex stainless steel disrupts phase balance, promotes nitride precipitation, and reduces fatigue resistance. Postweld heat treatment restores austenite and dissolves nitrides, but the resulting crystallography and phase morphology still impair fatigue performance.
Aparecida Silva Magalhães   +6 more
wiley   +1 more source

Conclusive Evidence on the Benefits of Temporal Disaggregation to Improve the Precision of Time Series Model Forecasts

open access: yes
Simulation methods are used to measure the expected differentials between the Mean Square Errors of the forecasts from models based on temporally disaggregated versus aggregated data.
Ramirez, Octavio A.
core  

On the approximation of continuous time threshold ARMA processes

open access: yes
Non-linear time series, continuous-time ARMA process, threshold model, stochastic differential equation, approximation of diffusion processes,
P. Brockwell, O. Stramer
core   +1 more source

Declining Runoff Sensitivity to Precipitation Following Permafrost Degradation: Insights From Event‐Scale Runoff Response in the Yellow River Source Region

open access: yesWater Resources Research, Volume 62, Issue 6, June 2026.
Abstract Frozen ground, including permafrost and seasonally frozen ground (SFG), is a critical element of the cryosphere that strongly regulates hydrological processes in cold regions. It has been debated whether frozen ground degradation will make landscapes more, or less, sensitive to precipitation inputs; either outcome has profound implications for
Zhuoyi Tu   +7 more
wiley   +1 more source

Multivariate Markov-switching ARMA processes with regularly varying noise

open access: yes, 2006
The tail behaviour of stationary R^d-valued Markov-Switching ARMA processes driven by a regularly varying noise is analysed. It is shown that under appropriate summability conditions the MS-ARMA process is again regularly varying as a sequence ...
Robert Stelzer
core  

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