Results 151 to 160 of about 78,936 (284)

Intraday Functional PCA Forecasting of Cryptocurrency Returns

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We study the functional PCA (FPCA) forecasting method in application to functions of intraday returns on Bitcoin. We show that improved interval forecasts of future return functions are obtained when the conditional heteroscedasticity of return functions is taken into account.
Joann Jasiak, Cheng Zhong
wiley   +1 more source

Forecasting Volatility of Commodity, Currency, and Stock Markets: Evidence From Markov‐Switching Multifractal Models

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This paper adopts a bivariate Markov‐switching multifractal (BMSM) model to reexamine comovement in SV between commodity, foreign exchange (FX), and stock markets. After the 2007–2008 global financial crisis understanding volatility linkages and the correlation structure between these markets becomes very important for risk analysts, portfolio
Ruipeng Liu, Mawuli Segnon, Oguzhan Cepni, Rangan Gupta   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Evaluating Forecasts at Multiple Horizons: An Extension of the Diebold–Mariano Approach

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Forecast accuracy tests are fundamental tools for comparing competing predictive models. The widely used Diebold–Mariano (DM) test assesses whether differences in forecast errors are statistically significant. However, its standard form is limited to pairwise comparisons at a single forecast horizon.
Andrew Grant, Matus Mrazik, Steve Satchell   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Forecasting With Dynamic Factor Models Estimated by Partial Least Squares

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Dynamic factor models (DFMs) have found great success in nowcasting and short‐term macroeconomic forecasting when incorporating large sets of predictive information. The factor loadings are typically estimated cross‐sectionally with principal component analysis (PCA) or maximum likelihood (ML), which ignore whether the factors have predictive ...
Samuel Rauhala
wiley   +1 more source

The Energy Dilemma: Does Energy Security Risk and Renewable Energy Affect Fossil Material Footprint? Policy Framework for Securing SDGs

Geological Journal, EarlyView.
Energy security risk has a positive impact on material footprint. Renewable energy consumption reduces material footprint. ABSTRACT Following a high economic growth path, the group of G7 economies is found to be utilising more and more material, causing a material footprint (MF), which in turn contributes to pollution.
Serhat Çamkaya, Faiza Saleem, Afshan Hamid, Magdalena Radulescu, Ahsan Anwar   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

Operating Capacity, Pricing and Supply Elasticity in Container Shipping Markets

International Journal of Finance &Economics, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We investigate the channels through which changes in operating capacity influence freight rates in the container shipping market using a novel dataset to create an operating capacity index at the shipping‐route level. Our analysis reveals that when supply elasticity is low, an increase in operating capacity tends to drive freight rates upward,
Cong Sui, Shang Wang, Jingmin Liang, Nikos K. Nomikos   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Interplay Between Green Investment and Market Price Premia in Global Shipping

International Journal of Finance &Economics, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Existing research emphasises that the driver of green investment is its future profitability. This paper shows that other investors' decisions also influence green investment. We take the example of scrubber installation in shipping, which is optional by regulation but has an established market for trading its underlying asset.
Yao Shi, Nikos C. Papapostolou, Malvina Marchese, Ioannis C. Moutzouris, Angelos Efstathiou   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

Robust Tests of Forecast Accuracy for Factor‐Augmented Regressions With an Application to the Novel EA‐MD‐QD Dataset

Journal of Applied Econometrics, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We present four novel tests of equal predictive accuracy and encompassing á Pitarakis (2023, 2025) for factor‐augmented regressions. Factors are estimated using cross‐section averages (CAs) of grouped series and our theoretical findings are empirically relevant: asymptotic normality, robustness to an overspecification of the number of factors,
Alessandro Morico, Ovidijus Stauskas
wiley   +1 more source

Improving the Finite Sample Estimation of Average Treatment Effects Using Double/Debiased Machine Learning With Propensity Score Calibration

Journal of Applied Econometrics, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Double/debiased machine learning (DML) uses for estimating an average treatment effect (ATE) a double‐robust score function that relies on the prediction of nuisance functions, such as the propensity score, which is the probability of treatment assignment given covariates.
Daniele Ballinari, Nora Bearth
wiley   +1 more source

Cyclothymic‐hypersensitive temperament in early adolescence: Longitudinal measurement invariance and associations with psychopathology over time

JCPP Advances, EarlyView.
Abstract Background Cyclothymic‐Hypersensitive Temperament (CHT) is characterised by mood instability, interpersonal hypersensitivity, and emotional hyperreactivity, traits frequently observed in general population as well as clinical settings but often eluding strict diagnostic classifications.
Anna Pezzella, Pietro Buono, Nadia Marani, Luisa Almerico, Alessandra Carta, Maria Nobile, Carmela Bravaccio, Gennaro Catone, Vincenzo Paolo Senese, Simone Pisano   +9 more
wiley   +1 more source