Results 141 to 150 of about 64,866 (212)
Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.ABSTRACT This paper adopts a bivariate Markov‐switching multifractal (BMSM) model to reexamine comovement in SV between commodity, foreign exchange (FX), and stock markets. After the 2007–2008 global financial crisis understanding volatility linkages and the correlation structure between these markets becomes very important for risk analysts, portfolio
Ruipeng Liu +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Evaluating Forecasts at Multiple Horizons: An Extension of the Diebold–Mariano Approach
Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.ABSTRACT Forecast accuracy tests are fundamental tools for comparing competing predictive models. The widely used Diebold–Mariano (DM) test assesses whether differences in forecast errors are statistically significant. However, its standard form is limited to pairwise comparisons at a single forecast horizon.
Andrew Grant +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Forecasting With Dynamic Factor Models Estimated by Partial Least Squares
Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.ABSTRACT Dynamic factor models (DFMs) have found great success in nowcasting and short‐term macroeconomic forecasting when incorporating large sets of predictive information. The factor loadings are typically estimated cross‐sectionally with principal component analysis (PCA) or maximum likelihood (ML), which ignore whether the factors have predictive ...
Samuel Rauhala
wiley +1 more source
Journal of Futures Markets, EarlyView.ABSTRACT This paper uses GARCH‐MIDAS to predict US natural gas futures volatility using national and state‐level Climate Concern Indexes (CCIs). We find that both national and state‐level CCIs positively affect price volatility. Notably, models using state‐level data—specifically those utilizing least‐squares (LS) weighting combinations—surpass the ...
Afees A. Salisu +3 more
wiley +1 more source
The Impact of Democratization and Globalization on Environmental Sustainability in Brazil
Geological Journal, EarlyView.Fossil fuel, economic globalisation, and economic growth drive environmental degradation while democratisation positively influences environmental quality. ABSTRACT Although Brazil still possesses significant ecological reserves, the surplus in its biocapacity has been rapidly declining in recent years.
Mustafa Naimoğlu +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Assessing delayed treatment benefits of immunotherapy using long-term average hazard: a novel test/estimation approach. [PDF]
Lifetime Data AnalHoriguchi M, Tian L, Kehl KL, Uno H.
europepmc +1 more source
Operating Capacity, Pricing and Supply Elasticity in Container Shipping Markets
International Journal of Finance &Economics, EarlyView.ABSTRACT We investigate the channels through which changes in operating capacity influence freight rates in the container shipping market using a novel dataset to create an operating capacity index at the shipping‐route level. Our analysis reveals that when supply elasticity is low, an increase in operating capacity tends to drive freight rates upward,
Cong Sui +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Estimating treatment effects on duration with disease: a principal stratification framework. [PDF]
Lifetime Data AnalParner ET.
europepmc +1 more source
Interplay Between Green Investment and Market Price Premia in Global Shipping
International Journal of Finance &Economics, EarlyView.ABSTRACT Existing research emphasises that the driver of green investment is its future profitability. This paper shows that other investors' decisions also influence green investment. We take the example of scrubber installation in shipping, which is optional by regulation but has an established market for trading its underlying asset.
Yao Shi +4 more
wiley +1 more source
A New Approach to the Nonparametric Behrens-Fisher Problem With Compatible Confidence Intervals. [PDF]
Biom JSchüürhuis S +2 more
europepmc +1 more source