Results 161 to 170 of about 4,554 (226)

Scaling laws for rockfall impact fragmentation emerging from diverse lithologies. [PDF]

Sci Rep
Vergara Á, Palma S, Fuentes R.
europepmc   +1 more source

Intraday Functional PCA Forecasting of Cryptocurrency Returns

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We study the functional PCA (FPCA) forecasting method in application to functions of intraday returns on Bitcoin. We show that improved interval forecasts of future return functions are obtained when the conditional heteroscedasticity of return functions is taken into account.
Joann Jasiak, Cheng Zhong
wiley   +1 more source

Covariate selection strategies and estimands - a review of current practice of risk factor analysis from a causal perspective. [PDF]

BMC Med Res Methodol
Reinhammar R, Waernbaum I.
europepmc   +1 more source

Forecasting Volatility of Commodity, Currency, and Stock Markets: Evidence From Markov‐Switching Multifractal Models

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This paper adopts a bivariate Markov‐switching multifractal (BMSM) model to reexamine comovement in SV between commodity, foreign exchange (FX), and stock markets. After the 2007–2008 global financial crisis understanding volatility linkages and the correlation structure between these markets becomes very important for risk analysts, portfolio
Ruipeng Liu, Mawuli Segnon, Oguzhan Cepni, Rangan Gupta   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Multivariate Regression With Dependence Structures: Evaluating Associations Between Plasma Metabolomics and Alcohol Intake in Older Adults. [PDF]

Stat Med
Yang Y, Chen C, Lee H, Wang M, Zhang Y, Chen S.   +5 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Evaluating Forecasts at Multiple Horizons: An Extension of the Diebold–Mariano Approach

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Forecast accuracy tests are fundamental tools for comparing competing predictive models. The widely used Diebold–Mariano (DM) test assesses whether differences in forecast errors are statistically significant. However, its standard form is limited to pairwise comparisons at a single forecast horizon.
Andrew Grant, Matus Mrazik, Steve Satchell   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Forecasting With Dynamic Factor Models Estimated by Partial Least Squares

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Dynamic factor models (DFMs) have found great success in nowcasting and short‐term macroeconomic forecasting when incorporating large sets of predictive information. The factor loadings are typically estimated cross‐sectionally with principal component analysis (PCA) or maximum likelihood (ML), which ignore whether the factors have predictive ...
Samuel Rauhala
wiley   +1 more source

Overcoming Model Uncertainty - How Equivalence Tests Can Benefit From Model Averaging. [PDF]

Stat Med
Hagemann N, Möllenhoff K.
europepmc   +1 more source

Time‐Varying Skewness–Kurtosis Dynamics in Bitcoin Markets

Journal of Futures Markets, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This paper examines the relationship between skewness and kurtosis in Bitcoin spot and futures markets using high‐frequency data. We document a strong convex skewness–kurtosis relationship consistent with theoretical moment restrictions. Trading activity is positively associated with realized kurtosis, particularly in futures markets, though ...
Ariston Karagiorgis, Antonis Ballis
wiley   +1 more source

Likelihood-Based Non-Parametric Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve Analysis in the Presence of Imperfect Reference Standard. [PDF]

Stat Med
Sun Y, Sang P, Tian Q, Li P.
europepmc   +1 more source