Temperature outweighs diet in shaping developmental performance in two cricket species via growth delays and physiological limits. [PDF]
Vadboncoeur É +3 more
europepmc +1 more source
Coherent Forecasting of Realized Volatility
ABSTRACT The QLIKE loss function is the stylized favorite of the literature on volatility forecasting when it comes to out‐of‐sample evaluation and the state of the art model for realized volatility (RV) forecasting is the HAR model, which minimizes the squared error loss for in‐sample estimation of the parameters.
Marius Puke, Karsten Schweikert
wiley +1 more source
Bayesian adaptive randomization in the I-SPY2 sequential multiple assignment randomized trial. [PDF]
Norwood P +6 more
europepmc +1 more source
Forecasting Count Data With Varying Dispersion: A Latent‐Variable Approach
ABSTRACT Count data, such as product sales and disease case counts, are common in business forecasting and many areas of science. Although the Poisson distribution is the best known model for such data, its use is severely limited by its assumption that the dispersion is a fixed function of the mean, which rarely holds in real‐world scenarios.
Easton Huch +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Multivariate Regression With Dependence Structures: Evaluating Associations Between Plasma Metabolomics and Alcohol Intake in Older Adults. [PDF]
Yang Y +5 more
europepmc +1 more source
Intraday Functional PCA Forecasting of Cryptocurrency Returns
ABSTRACT We study the functional PCA (FPCA) forecasting method in application to functions of intraday returns on Bitcoin. We show that improved interval forecasts of future return functions are obtained when the conditional heteroscedasticity of return functions is taken into account.
Joann Jasiak, Cheng Zhong
wiley +1 more source
Multi-Scale Tribo-Thermo-Viscoelastic Engineering of Sustainable Bio-Based Epoxy Through Hybrid Carbon Nano Architectures and Energy Partition Modeling. [PDF]
Keshyagol K +6 more
europepmc +1 more source
ABSTRACT This paper adopts a bivariate Markov‐switching multifractal (BMSM) model to reexamine comovement in SV between commodity, foreign exchange (FX), and stock markets. After the 2007–2008 global financial crisis understanding volatility linkages and the correlation structure between these markets becomes very important for risk analysts, portfolio
Ruipeng Liu +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Robust Distributed High-Dimensional Regression: A Convoluted Rank Approach. [PDF]
Wu M.
europepmc +1 more source
Evaluating Forecasts at Multiple Horizons: An Extension of the Diebold–Mariano Approach
ABSTRACT Forecast accuracy tests are fundamental tools for comparing competing predictive models. The widely used Diebold–Mariano (DM) test assesses whether differences in forecast errors are statistically significant. However, its standard form is limited to pairwise comparisons at a single forecast horizon.
Andrew Grant +2 more
wiley +1 more source

