Results 211 to 220 of about 466,237 (288)

A Comparison of Realized Measures of Integrated Volatility: Price Duration‐ vs. Return‐Based Approaches

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We study the accuracy of a variety of parametric price duration‐based realized variance estimators constructed via various financial duration models and compare their forecasting performance with the performance of various nonparametric return‐based realized variance estimators.
Björn Schulte‐Tillmann, Mawuli Segnon, Timo Wiedemann   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Non-Parametric Goodness-of-Fit Tests Using Tsallis Entropy Measures. [PDF]

Entropy (Basel)
Cadirci MS.
europepmc   +1 more source

Coherent Forecasting of Realized Volatility

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT The QLIKE loss function is the stylized favorite of the literature on volatility forecasting when it comes to out‐of‐sample evaluation and the state of the art model for realized volatility (RV) forecasting is the HAR model, which minimizes the squared error loss for in‐sample estimation of the parameters.
Marius Puke, Karsten Schweikert
wiley   +1 more source

SPARCC: Semi-Parametric Robust Estimation in a Right-Censored Covariate Model. [PDF]

J Am Stat Assoc
Lee SH, Richardson BD, Ma Y, Marder KS, Garcia TP.   +4 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Forecasting Count Data With Varying Dispersion: A Latent‐Variable Approach

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Count data, such as product sales and disease case counts, are common in business forecasting and many areas of science. Although the Poisson distribution is the best known model for such data, its use is severely limited by its assumption that the dispersion is a fixed function of the mean, which rarely holds in real‐world scenarios.
Easton Huch, Candace Berrett, Mason Ferlic, Kimberly F. Sellers   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Autodesmotic reactions for general strain energy evaluation in polycyclic aromatic nanocarbons. [PDF]

Commun Chem
Wang Y.
europepmc   +1 more source

Intraday Functional PCA Forecasting of Cryptocurrency Returns

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We study the functional PCA (FPCA) forecasting method in application to functions of intraday returns on Bitcoin. We show that improved interval forecasts of future return functions are obtained when the conditional heteroscedasticity of return functions is taken into account.
Joann Jasiak, Cheng Zhong
wiley   +1 more source

Accuracy of Point-of-Care Transdermal GFR Methodology. [PDF]

Kidney Int Rep
Dorshow RB, Friedemann J, Ross-Jones J, Johnson JR, Vitale L, Riley IR, Debreczeny MP, Harr J, Trelford LP, Goldstein SL.   +9 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Evaluating Forecasts at Multiple Horizons: An Extension of the Diebold–Mariano Approach

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Forecast accuracy tests are fundamental tools for comparing competing predictive models. The widely used Diebold–Mariano (DM) test assesses whether differences in forecast errors are statistically significant. However, its standard form is limited to pairwise comparisons at a single forecast horizon.
Andrew Grant, Matus Mrazik, Steve Satchell   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source