Forecasting Count Data With Varying Dispersion: A Latent‐Variable Approach
ABSTRACT Count data, such as product sales and disease case counts, are common in business forecasting and many areas of science. Although the Poisson distribution is the best known model for such data, its use is severely limited by its assumption that the dispersion is a fixed function of the mean, which rarely holds in real‐world scenarios.
Easton Huch +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Evaluating Forecasts at Multiple Horizons: An Extension of the Diebold–Mariano Approach
ABSTRACT Forecast accuracy tests are fundamental tools for comparing competing predictive models. The widely used Diebold–Mariano (DM) test assesses whether differences in forecast errors are statistically significant. However, its standard form is limited to pairwise comparisons at a single forecast horizon.
Andrew Grant +2 more
wiley +1 more source
The Impact of Democratization and Globalization on Environmental Sustainability in Brazil
Fossil fuel, economic globalisation, and economic growth drive environmental degradation while democratisation positively influences environmental quality. ABSTRACT Although Brazil still possesses significant ecological reserves, the surplus in its biocapacity has been rapidly declining in recent years.
Mustafa Naimoğlu +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Experimental Factors and Techniques for Pool Boiling Heat Transfer Enhancement: A Critical Review
ABSTRACT This review presents a comprehensive assessment of active strategies for enhancing pool boiling heat transfer, with a focus on techniques that do not rely solely on the boiling surface modification. It examines a broad range of methodologies including fluid additives, external fields, mechanical interventions, and thermal‐geometric tuning that
José E. Pereira +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Operating Capacity, Pricing and Supply Elasticity in Container Shipping Markets
ABSTRACT We investigate the channels through which changes in operating capacity influence freight rates in the container shipping market using a novel dataset to create an operating capacity index at the shipping‐route level. Our analysis reveals that when supply elasticity is low, an increase in operating capacity tends to drive freight rates upward,
Cong Sui +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Evolutionary dynamics on a regular networked structured and unstructured multi‐population
Abstract In this paper, we study collective decision‐making in a multi‐population framework, where groups of individuals represent whole populations that interact by means of a regular network. Each group consists of a number of players and every player can choose between two options.
Wouter Baar +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Interplay Between Green Investment and Market Price Premia in Global Shipping
ABSTRACT Existing research emphasises that the driver of green investment is its future profitability. This paper shows that other investors' decisions also influence green investment. We take the example of scrubber installation in shipping, which is optional by regulation but has an established market for trading its underlying asset.
Yao Shi +4 more
wiley +1 more source
Household Consumption Intentions by Income Group During Monetary Policy Easing and Tightening
ABSTRACT We investigate how the monetary policy interest rate affects Brazilian households' consumption intentions under two distinct regimes: monetary easing and tightening cycles. Using data from low‐ and high‐income households, we assess both the magnitude and the dynamics of this relationship.
Helder Ferreira de Mendonça +1 more
wiley +1 more source
On the Evolution of the Stock Market Efficiency: Evidence From Emerging Markets
ABSTRACT The study of market efficiency is one of the most covered topics in the field of financial markets, with the Efficient Market Hypothesis gathering devotees as well as several critics. The perception of markets as agents with an adaptive nature gave rise to the Adaptive Market Hypothesis (AMH).
Júlio Lobão, Luís Pacheco, Nuno Cruz
wiley +1 more source
ABSTRACT The relationship between trauma and addictive behaviors is well‐established, yet factors mediating this relationship remain understudied. Given the prevalence of addictive behaviors among collegiate populations, we used path analysis to explore the mediating role of arousal dysregulation in the relationship between childhood trauma and a ...
Amanda L. Giordano +3 more
wiley +1 more source

