How Skillful are the Multiannual Forecasts of Atlantic Hurricane Activity? [PDF]
The recent emergence of near-term climate prediction, wherein climate models are initialized with the contemporaneous state of the Earth system and integrated up to 10 years into the future, has prompted the development of three different multiannual ...
Caron, Louis-Philippe +5 more
core +2 more sources
Diagnosing the 11‐year solar cycle's influence on the East Atlantic pattern
A previously unidentified solar‐cycle response in the East Atlantic pattern is found in late winter at lag +3 years with larger amplitude than the NAO response. A statistically significant NAO response to the solar cycle is seen in late winter at lag 0 years.
Stergios Misios +4 more
wiley +1 more source
North Atlantic Multidecadal SST Oscillation: External forcing versus internal variability
Abstract The Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation (AMO) depicts the swings of North Atlantic basin-wide sea surface temperature (SST) between warm and cold phases on a multi-decadal time scale. The 20th Century instrumental record indicates a relative cold period in the beginning of the 20th Century, a warm period in the 1940s and 50s, another cold ...
Ting, Mingfang +2 more
openaire +3 more sources
Acceleration of the Extreme Sea Level Rise Along the Chinese Coast
Using high‐frequency tide gauge observations from 1980 to 2017, we analyzed changes in extreme sea levels (ESLs) along the Chinese coast to examine whether extreme sea‐level rise acceleration could be observed.
Jianlong Feng +5 more
doaj +1 more source
El Niño-related summer precipitation anomalies in Southeast Asia modulated by the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation [PDF]
How the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) affects El Niño-related signals in Southeast Asia is investigated in this study on a subseasonal scale.
Fan, K., Fan, Y., Fraedrich, K., Zhu, X.
core +2 more sources
Inference related to common breaks in a multivariate system with joined segmented trends with applications to global and hemispheric temperatures [PDF]
What transpires from recent research is that temperatures and radiative forcing seem to be characterized by a linear trend with two changes in the rate of growth. The first occurs in the early 60s and indicates a very large increase in the rate of growth
Estrada, Francisco +3 more
core +2 more sources
Contrasting the synoptic drivers of the UK heatwaves of 1976, 2003, 2018 and 2022
UK summer heatwaves are dictated by the polar jet stream position and sea surface temperature (SST) variability, affecting the Summer North Atlantic Oscillation (SNAO) index. The SNAO can determine and influence the Central England Precipitation (CEP) and Central England Temperature (CET).
Nedim Sladić +4 more
wiley +1 more source
The cold regions of China (CRC) are important and vulnerable freshwater recharge areas on land, and any changes in them are related to the survival of millions of people in East Asia.
Yiyang Dong +10 more
doaj +1 more source
Impact of ocean warming on sustainable fisheries management informs the Ecosystem Approach to Fisheries [PDF]
Acknowledgements Serpetti N., Heymans J.J., and Burrows M.T. were funded by the Natural Environment Research Council and Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs under the Marine Ecosystems Research Programme (MERP) (grant No.
Baudron, Alan R +6 more
core +2 more sources
Advancing Ecological Understanding and Sustainable Management of Small Pelagic Fish
ABSTRACT Small pelagic fish (SPF) are critical to the trophodynamic structure and function of marine systems and support some of the most valuable and socially important fisheries worldwide. Their “boom and bust” population dynamics, shifts in distribution, and importance as forage resources for other fish stocks place unique challenges to assessing ...
Myron A. Peck +22 more
wiley +1 more source

