The Emergence of a Human Fingerprint in the Boreal Winter Extratropical Zonal Mean Circulation
Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 53, Issue 8, 28 April 2026.Abstract The large‐scale atmospheric circulation plays an important role in regional climate. Recent studies have shown that poleward shifts in the Northern Hemisphere jet streams may be emerging, but the statistical significance and robustness are questionable.
Russell Blackport, Michael Sigmond
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The role of Amazon river runoff on the multidecadal variability of the Atlantic ITCZ
Environmental Research Letters, 2020 Climate model projections for the 21st century predict an elongated dry season in the Amazon basin, potentially reducing the discharge into the equatorial Atlantic Ocean.
S Jahfer +2 more
doaj +1 more source
Dynamically‐Informed Extreme Event Attribution Using Circulation Imprints
Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 53, Issue 7, 16 April 2026.Abstract We present a novel extreme event attribution approach, isolating dynamical from other contributions to changing extreme event probability. Event‐specific, multivariate circulation imprints are linked to impact‐relevant hazard indices in a flexible framework which we demonstrate for three recent high‐impact extreme events: the 2025 Los Angeles ...
Joshua Oldham‐Dorrington +1 more
wiley +1 more source
Projected Changes of Mesoscale Eddy Activity in Subantarctic Mode Water Formation Regions
Geophysical Research Letters, Volume 53, Issue 7, 16 April 2026.Abstract Subantarctic Mode Water (SAMW) plays a vital role in the uptake of heat and carbon, thereby regulating global climate. Mesoscale eddies affect mode‐water subduction and transport in the Southern Ocean. However, it remains unclear how SAMW‐related eddy activity will evolve under anthropogenic warming, because most state‐of‐the‐art climate ...
Yushan Qu, Matthew H. England
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On skillful decadal predictions of the subpolar North Atlantic [PDF]
, 2019 The North Atlantic is a crucial region for the prediction of weather and climate of North America and Europe and is the focus of this analysis. A skillful decadal prediction of the surface temperature was shown for several Earth system models, with the ...
Cubasch, Ulrich +4 more
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, 2012 The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) obtained using instrumental and documentary proxy predictors from Eurasia is found to be characterized by a quasi 60-year dominant oscillation since 1650.
A Bath +32 more
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El Niño-related summer precipitation anomalies in Southeast Asia modulated by the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation [PDF]
, 2019 How the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) affects El Niño-related signals in Southeast Asia is investigated in this study on a subseasonal scale.
Fan, K., Fan, Y., Fraedrich, K., Zhu, X.
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Climate Change Attribution Using Empirical Decomposition of Climatic Data
, 2011 The climate change attribution problem is addressed using empirical decomposition. Cycles in solar motion and activity of 60 and 20 years were used to develop an empirical model of Earth temperature variations.
Loehle, Craig, Scafetta, Nicola
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Links between central Greenland stable isotopes, blocking and extreme climate variability over Europe at decadal to multidecadal time scales [PDF]
, 2016 The link between central Greenland stable oxygen isotopes, atmospheric blocking frequency and cold temperature extremes at decadal to multidecadal time scales is investigated using observed and proxy data as well as model experiments.
Ionita, Monica +3 more
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North Atlantic multidecadal to centennial variability in a model and a marine proxy dataset [PDF]
, 2013 Variability on decadal and longer timescales is of great interest in climate research due to it’s socio-economic impacts, potential for predictability and masking of anthroprogenic global warming. Observational evidence of multidecadal variability in the
Mecking, Jennifer
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