Coherent Forecasting of Realized Volatility
ABSTRACT The QLIKE loss function is the stylized favorite of the literature on volatility forecasting when it comes to out‐of‐sample evaluation and the state of the art model for realized volatility (RV) forecasting is the HAR model, which minimizes the squared error loss for in‐sample estimation of the parameters.
Marius Puke, Karsten Schweikert
wiley +1 more source
Geographical differences in the prevalence of diabetic kidney disease in middle-aged and elderly patients in China: an analysis based on the Bayesian conditional autoregressive model. [PDF]
Shang X +6 more
europepmc +1 more source
Bayesian generalizations of the integer-valued autoregressive model. [PDF]
C Marques F P, Graziadei H, Lopes HF.
europepmc +1 more source
Tyler Hoffman, Peter Kedron
openaire +1 more source
Forecasting House Prices: The Role of Market Interconnectedness
ABSTRACT While the existing research uncovers interconnections between various housing markets, it largely ignores the question of whether such linkages can improve house price predictions. To address this issue, we proceed in two steps. First, we forecast disaggregated house price growth rates from Australia and China to determine whether ...
Zac Chen +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Estimation of parameters and hypothesis testing of multivariate spatial autoregressive model. [PDF]
Sutikno +3 more
europepmc +1 more source
A New First-Order Integer-Valued Autoregressive Model with Bell Innovations. [PDF]
Huang J, Zhu F.
europepmc +1 more source
Regime‐Dependent Nowcasting of the Austrian Economy
ABSTRACT We nowcast and forecast economic activity in Austria, namely, real gross domestic product (GDP), consumption, and investment, which are available at a quarterly frequency, using a preselected number of monthly indicators based on a combination of statistical procedures.
Jaroslava Hlouskova, Ines Fortin
wiley +1 more source
Maximum likelihood estimation of matrix exponential spatial specification on seemingly unrelated regression-spatial autoregressive model. [PDF]
Marsono, Setiawan, Kuswanto H.
europepmc +1 more source
Network Autoregressive Model for the Prediction of COVID-19 Considering the Disease Interaction in Neighboring Countries. [PDF]
Sioofy Khoojine A +3 more
europepmc +1 more source

