Bayesian generalizations of the integer-valued autoregressive model. [PDF]
C Marques F P, Graziadei H, Lopes HF.
europepmc +1 more source
Spatio‐Temporal Dual‐Encoder Transformer for Short‐Term Regional Wind Power Forecasting
ST‐DualFormer separates temporal and spatial encoding to model complex dependencies in regional wind power forecasting. The fused dual‐stream representation enables accurate short‐term regional forecasts from multi‐farm meteorological and historical power data. The method achieved 5.25% nMAE and 7.53% nRMSE for three‐day‐ahead forecasting on real‐world
Jianfeng Che +4 more
wiley +1 more source
Geographical differences in the prevalence of diabetic kidney disease in middle-aged and elderly patients in China: an analysis based on the Bayesian conditional autoregressive model. [PDF]
Shang X +6 more
europepmc +1 more source
Improved prediction of new COVID-19 cases using a simple vector autoregressive model: evidence from seven New York state counties. [PDF]
Kitaoka T, Takahashi H.
europepmc +1 more source
Abstract Background Bodyweight, age and breed influence the echocardiographic assessment of foals. There are no echocardiographic studies in Standardbred neonatal foals. Objectives To describe echocardiographic values for selected variables, evaluate intra‐ and inter‐observer variability and assess cardiac changes in the first 5 days of life in healthy
Fernanda Timbó D'el Rey Dantas +8 more
wiley +1 more source
Are Fruit and Vegetable Prices Non-linear Stationary? Evidence from Smooth Transition Autoregressive Models [PDF]
Over the last decade, there has been a growing interest in investigating agricultural commodity prices. We apply two more powerful smooth transition autoregressive models of the non-linear unit-root test - namely, the ESTAR model of Kapetanios et al ...
Jhih-Hong Zeng +2 more
core
Spatial Adaptive Selection using Binary Conditional Autoregressive Model with Application to Brain-Computer Interface. [PDF]
Lin Z, Choi J, Mao R, Zhao B, Kang J.
europepmc +1 more source
A New First-Order Integer-Valued Autoregressive Model with Bell Innovations. [PDF]
Huang J, Zhu F.
europepmc +1 more source
Intraday Functional PCA Forecasting of Cryptocurrency Returns
ABSTRACT We study the functional PCA (FPCA) forecasting method in application to functions of intraday returns on Bitcoin. We show that improved interval forecasts of future return functions are obtained when the conditional heteroscedasticity of return functions is taken into account.
Joann Jasiak, Cheng Zhong
wiley +1 more source
CONDITIONAL FORECASTING FOR THE U.S. DAIRY PRICE COMPLEX WITH A BAYESIAN VECTOR AUTOREGRESSIVE MODEL
A dynamic Bayesian Vector Autoregressive model of the U.S. dairy price complex is estimated based on the Normal-Wishart distribution. The Gibbs sample technique is use with the Normal-Wishart distribution to provide conditional forecasts on the future ...
Thompson, Stanley R. +2 more
core

