The Circumstance-Driven Bivariate Integer-Valued Autoregressive Model. [PDF]
Wang H, Weiß CH.
europepmc +1 more source
Evaluating Forecasts at Multiple Horizons: An Extension of the Diebold–Mariano Approach
ABSTRACT Forecast accuracy tests are fundamental tools for comparing competing predictive models. The widely used Diebold–Mariano (DM) test assesses whether differences in forecast errors are statistically significant. However, its standard form is limited to pairwise comparisons at a single forecast horizon.
Andrew Grant +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Using a spatial autoregressive model with spatial autoregressive disturbances to investigate origin-destination trip flows. [PDF]
Ni L, Zhang D.
europepmc +1 more source
An Interpretable Hybrid Predictive Model of COVID-19 Cases using Autoregressive Model and LSTM
Zhang Y, Tang S, Yu G.
europepmc +1 more source
Modelling COVID-19 incidence in the African sub-region using smooth transition autoregressive model. [PDF]
Aidoo EN +4 more
europepmc +1 more source
The Role of Price‐Volatility Cojumps in Volatility Forecasting
ABSTRACT This paper investigates whether simultaneous jumps in prices and volatility improve volatility forecasting. Using up‐to‐date high‐frequency S&P 500 and VIX data, we identify price‐volatility cojumps at the intraday granularity and construct upside, downside, and asymmetric measures.
Kefu Liao
wiley +1 more source
Corrigendum: Degenerate Beta autoregressive model for proportion time-series with zeros or ones: an application to antimicrobial resistance rate using R shiny app. [PDF]
Lobo J, Kamath A, Kalwaje Eshwara V.
europepmc +1 more source
On the Comovement of Contango and Backwardation Across Futures Commodity Markets
ABSTRACT We examine the time‐varying nature of the comovement of the slope of the futures curve in major agricultural, metals and energy commodity futures markets in a Global Vector Autoregressive model. We find significant comovement between the slopes, indicating the co‐existence of backwardation and contango in many seemingly unrelated commodity ...
Angelo Luisi +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Systematic evaluation of integration between China's digital economy and sports industry: Two-stage grey relational analysis and vector autoregressive model. [PDF]
Sun X, Su L, Zhou B, Bu T, Zhang Y.
europepmc +1 more source
Quadratic Hedging of American Options Under GARCH Models
ABSTRACT American options are widely traded in financial markets, yet there is a scarcity of literature on hedging in incomplete markets. In this paper, we derive optimal hedging ratios and option values using Local Risk Minimization (LRM) and Global Risk Minimization (GRM) hedging strategies through dynamic programming.
Junmei Ma, Chen Wang, Wei Xu
wiley +1 more source

