Results 11 to 20 of about 7,868 (207)

Dynamic modelling of extreme daily precipitation in Germany from 1951 to 2020

open access: yesMeteorologische Zeitschrift, 2022
It is important to analyse long-term changes in heavy precipitation but current risk management requires more dynamic and reliable forecasting of changes in the right tail of precipitation distributions in shorter periods of time.
Joanna Czarnowska, Bogdan Bochenek
doaj   +1 more source

Development of a Backtesting Web Application for the Definition of Investment Strategies

open access: yesKnowledge, 2023
Backtesting represents a set of techniques that aim to evaluate trading strategies on historical data in order to verify their effectiveness before applying them to a market in real time.
Antonio Sarasa-Cabezuelo
doaj   +1 more source

Portfolio Risk Assessment under Dynamic (Equi)Correlation and Semi-Nonparametric Estimation: An Application to Cryptocurrencies

open access: yesMathematics, 2020
The semi-nonparametric (SNP) modeling of the return distribution has been proved to be a flexible and accurate methodology for portfolio risk management that allows two-step estimation of the dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) matrix. For this SNP-DCC
Inés Jiménez   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Studying the effects of USING GARCH-EVT-COPULA METHOD TO ESTIMATE VALUE AT RISK OF PORTFOLIO [PDF]

open access: yesIranian Journal of Finance, 1999
Value at Risk (VaR) plays a central role in risk management. There are several approaches for the estimation of VaR, such as historical simulation, the variance-covariance and the Monte Carlo approaches. This work presents portfolio VaR using an approach
Ghodratollah Emamverdi
doaj   +1 more source

E-backtesting

open access: yesSSRN Electronic Journal, 2022
In the recent Basel Accords, the Expected Shortfall (ES) replaces the Value-at-Risk (VaR) as the standard risk measure for market risk in the banking sector, making it the most important risk measure in financial regulation. One of the most challenging tasks in risk modeling practice is to backtest ES forecasts provided by financial institutions.
Qiuqi Wang, Ruodu Wang, Johanna Ziegel
openaire   +2 more sources

Backtesting macroprudential stress tests [PDF]

open access: yesJournal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2020
zbMATH Open Web Interface contents unavailable due to conflicting licenses.
Ramadiah, A, Fricke, D, Caccioli, F
openaire   +4 more sources

What is the best risk measure in practice? A comparison of standard measures [PDF]

open access: yes, 2015
Expected Shortfall (ES) has been widely accepted as a risk measure that is conceptually superior to Value-at-Risk (VaR). At the same time, however, it has been criticised for issues relating to backtesting.
Emmer, Susanne   +2 more
core   +1 more source

The Accuracy of Risk Measurement Models on Bitcoin Market during COVID-19 Pandemic

open access: yesRisks, 2021
Since late 2019, during one of the largest pandemics in history, COVID-19, global economic recession has continued. Therefore, investors seek an alternative investment that generates profits during this financially risky situation.
Danai Likitratcharoen   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

A review of backtesting and backtesting procedures [PDF]

open access: yesThe Journal of Risk, 2005
This paper reviews a variety of backtests that examine the adequacy of Value-at-Risk (VaR) measures. These backtesting procedures are reviewed from both a statistical and risk management perspective. The properties of unconditional coverage and independence are defined and their relation to backtesting procedures is discussed.
openaire   +1 more source

The Adjustment of VaR to the Empirical Distribution of Returns [PDF]

open access: yesTheoretical and Applied Economics, 2006
Basel II Recommendations concerning internal rating based models approach for financial institutions and the success of RiskMetrics made Value-at-Risk (VaR) is the most important risk measurement instrument at international level.
Radu Lupu
doaj   +1 more source

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