Results 11 to 20 of about 773,476 (276)
Base-rate neglect based on base-rates in experience-based contingency learning [PDF]
, 2007 Predicting criterion events based on probabilistic predictor events, humans often lend excessive weight to predictor event information and insufficient weight to criterion event base-rates. Using the matching-to-sample paradigm established in studies on experience-based contingency learning in animals, Goodie and Fantino (1996) showed that human judges
Kutzner, Florian +3 more
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Contingency inferences driven by base rates: Valid by sampling [PDF]
Judgment and Decision Making, 2011 Fiedler et al. (2009), reviewed evidence for the utilization of a contingency inference strategy termed pseudocontingencies (PCs). In PCs, the more frequent levels (and, by implication, the less frequent levels) are assumed to be associated.
Florian Kutzner +3 more
doaj +2 more sources
Base-rate training without case cues reduces base-rate neglect [PDF]
Psychonomic Bulletin & Review, 1999 Base-rate neglect is a persistent phenomenon in which subjects do not place sufficient weight on the probabilities of occurrence of relevant events. Two experiments with college students support the hypothesis that base-rate neglect may be minimized by providing base-rate training in the absence of case, or witness, cues, prior to introducing (or ...
D A, Case, E, Fantino, A S, Goodie
openaire +2 more sources
Frontiers in Psychology, 2020 Patients’ beliefs about the effectiveness of their treatments are key to the success of any intervention. However, since these beliefs are usually formed by sequentially accumulating evidence in the form of the covariation between the treatment use and ...
Fernando Blanco +2 more
doaj +1 more source
Model combinations through revised base rates [PDF]
International Journal of Forecasting, 2023 Standard selection criteria for forecasting models focus on information that is calculated for each series independently, disregarding the general tendencies and performances of the candidate models. In this paper, we propose a new way to statistical model selection and model combination that incorporates the base-rates of the candidate forecasting ...
Petropoulos, Fotios +2 more
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Statistical Approach for Computing Base Flow Rates in Gaged Rivers and Hydropower Effect Analysis
Hydrology, 2023 The calculation of base flow rates in rivers is complex since hydrogeological and hydrological studies should be performed. The estimation of base flow rates in storm hydrograph associated to various return periods is even more challenging compared to ...
Andrés F. Villalba-Barrios +4 more
doaj +1 more source
Combinatorial measurement of critical cooling rates in aluminum-base metallic glass forming alloys
Scientific Reports, 2021 Direct measurement of critical cooling rates has been challenging and only determined for a minute fraction of the reported metallic glass forming alloys.
Naijia Liu +10 more
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Base-rates of negative traits: instructions for use in criminal trials [PDF]
, 2015 Decision-makers in institutional and non-institutional contexts are sometimes confronted with the issue of whether to use generalisations expressing the statistical incidence of a negative trait in a disadvantaged and discriminated-against social group ...
Picinali, Federico
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Why frequencies are natural [PDF]
, 2007 Research in mathematical cognition has shown that rates, and other interpretations of x/y, are hard to learn and understand. On the other hand, there is extensive evidence that the brain is endowed with a specialized mechanism for representing and ...
Butterworth, B
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Can drug-induced sleep endoscopy improve the success rates of tongue base surgery?
Journal of Otolaryngology - Head and Neck Surgery, 2020 Background The purpose of this study was to determine the therapeutic value of drug-induced sleep endoscopy (DISE) by comparing the outcomes of tongue base surgery based on Muller’s maneuver (MM) and those based on DISE in obstructive sleep apnea (OSA ...
Jong-Gyun Ha +6 more
doaj +1 more source