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Deterministic epidemic models overestimate the basic reproduction number of observed outbreaks [PDF]
The basic reproduction number, R0, is a well-known quantifier of epidemic spread. However, a class of existing methods for estimating R0 from incidence data early in the epidemic can lead to an over-estimation of this quantity.
Wajid Ali+3 more
doaj +7 more sources
Dynamic mapping of dengue basic reproduction number [PDF]
We developed a method to produce time-varying maps for dengue transmission risk, using the Ross-Macdonald framework and differential equations to estimate spatially the basic reproduction number (R0) of a vector-borne disease.
Samuel Benkimoun+6 more
doaj +5 more sources
Complexity of the Basic Reproduction Number (R0) [PDF]
The basic reproduction number (R0), also called the basic reproduction ratio or rate or the basic reproductive rate, is an epidemiologic metric used to describe the contagiousness or transmissibility of infectious agents.
Paul L. Delamater+4 more
doaj +5 more sources
Estimating the basic reproduction number at the beginning of an outbreak. [PDF]
We compare several popular methods of estimating the basic reproduction number, R0, focusing on the early stages of an epidemic, and assuming weekly reports of new infecteds.
Sawitree Boonpatcharanon+2 more
doaj +5 more sources
The basic reproduction number of COVID-19 across Africa. [PDF]
The pandemic of the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) took the world by surprise. Following the first outbreak of COVID-19 in December 2019, several models have been developed to study and understand its transmission dynamics ...
Sarafa A Iyaniwura+3 more
doaj +7 more sources
Basic reproduction number of SEIRS model on regular lattice
In this paper we give a basic reproduction number $\mathscr{R}_0$ of an SEIRS model on regular lattice using next-generation matrix approach. Our result is straightforward but differs from the basic reproduction numbers for various fundamental epidemic ...
Kazunori Sato
doaj +5 more sources
Estimation of the Basic Reproduction Number for the COVID-19 Pandemic in Minnesota. [PDF]
This paper focuses on the dynamics of the COVID-19 pandemic and estimation of associated real-time variables characterizing disease spread. A nonlinear dynamic model is developed which enhances the traditional SEIR epidemic model to include additional variables of hospitalizations, ICU admissions, and deaths.
Movahedi H, Zemouche A, Rajamani R.
europepmc +5 more sources
Estimating the basic reproduction number for COVID-19 in Western Europe. [PDF]
ObjectiveTo estimate the basic reproduction number (R0) for COVID-19 in Western Europe.MethodsData (official statistics) on the cumulative incidence of COVID-19 at the start of the outbreak (before any confinement rules were declared) were retrieved in ...
Isabella Locatelli+2 more
doaj +6 more sources
Basic Reproduction Number of Chikungunya Virus Transmitted by Aedes Mosquitoes [PDF]
We estimated the weighted mean basic reproduction number (R0) of chikungunya virus based on outbreak size. R0 was 3.4 (95% CI 2.4–4.2) and varied for 2 primary chikungunya mosquito vectors: 4.1 (95% CI 1.5–6.6) for Aedes aegypti and 2.8 (95% CI 1.8–3.8 ...
Najmul Haider+4 more
doaj +7 more sources
Interpretation of the Basic and Effective Reproduction Number [PDF]
In epidemiology, the basic reproduction number (R0) is a term that describes the expected number of infections generated by 1 case in a susceptible population.
Jun-Sik Lim+3 more
doaj +5 more sources