Results 61 to 70 of about 40,900 (196)
Earthquake Engineering &Structural Dynamics, EarlyView.ABSTRACT Estimation of the time required for damaged building components to return to their pre‐earthquake conditions through repair is a critical element in assessing the seismic resilience of buildings, and it requires consideration of uncertainty.
Tomoaki Nishino +5 more
wiley +1 more source
Fire and Materials, EarlyView.ABSTRACT The relationship between accidental dwelling fire incidence and fire injury and fatality was examined using a Bayesian model to estimate the probability of a fire injury or fatality resulting from an accidental dwelling fire incidence under different circumstances of fire incidence (type of accidental dwelling fire, dwelling occupancy type ...
M. Taylor +5 more
wiley +1 more source
Dynamics, 2023 In the cognitive and neural sciences, Bayesianism refers to a collection of concepts and methods stemming from various implementations of Bayes’ theorem, which is a formal way to calculate the conditional probability of a hypothesis being true based on ...
Luis H. Favela, Mary Jean Amon
doaj +1 more source
Geological Journal, EarlyView.This work advances landslide susceptibility mapping by incorporating short‐term trigger data with landscape susceptibility mapping. We also examine the importance of downsampling, watershed delineation and geospatial correlations in evaluating outcomes.
Kanta Kotsugi +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Journal of Applied Econometrics, EarlyView.ABSTRACT We present four novel tests of equal predictive accuracy and encompassing á Pitarakis (2023, 2025) for factor‐augmented regressions. Factors are estimated using cross‐section averages (CAs) of grouped series and our theoretical findings are empirically relevant: asymptotic normality, robustness to an overspecification of the number of factors,
Alessandro Morico, Ovidijus Stauskas
wiley +1 more source
Evidence in Context: Bayes' Theorem and Investigations [PDF]
, 2012 Investigations require that detectives interpret what evidence tells them about the probability that a suspect committed a crime. Unfortunately, a large body of research suggests that people are generally unable to accurately assess what a specific ...
Blair, J. Pete, Rossmo, D. Kim
core +1 more source
Bayesian Model Averaging in Causal Instrumental Variable Models
Journal of Applied Econometrics, EarlyView.ABSTRACT Instrumental variables are a popular tool to infer causal effects under unobserved confounding, but choosing suitable instruments is challenging in practice. We propose gIVBMA, a Bayesian model averaging procedure that addresses this challenge by averaging across different sets of instrumental variables and covariates in a structural equation ...
Gregor Steiner, Mark Steel
wiley +1 more source
The Sky Has Its Limits in COVID-19 Testing
Rambam Maimonides Medical Journal, 2020 At the time of writing, in July 2020, the COVID-19 pandemic has already inflicted dramatic international restrictions, including airports closing and limiting international travel. It has been suggested that re-opening of airports should involve and even
Shai Lin, Shay Tzafrir, Shay Gueron
doaj +1 more source
Issues in the application of Bayes' Theorem to child abuse decision making [PDF]
, 2009 Proposals for the application of Bayes’ Theorem as an aid to child abuse decision making are discussed critically. Subsequently, two examples of the application of research findings concerning signs of child abuse to decision making are demonstrated ...
Proeve, M.
core +1 more source
Kuga–Satake Construction on Families of K3 Surfaces of Picard Rank 14
Mathematische Nachrichten, EarlyView.ABSTRACT The isometry between the type IV6 and the type II4 hermitian symmetric domains suggests a possible relation between suitable moduli spaces of K3 surfaces of Picard rank 14 and of polarized abelian 8‐folds with totally definite quaternion multiplication. We show how this isometry induces a geometrically meaningful map between such moduli spaces
Flora Poon
wiley +1 more source