Results 181 to 190 of about 10,357 (300)

Activity Patterns and Stress—Prognostic Factors for Pain Persistence and Disability in Acute Neck Pain: A 1‐Year Prospective Cohort Study

open access: yesEuropean Journal of Pain, Volume 30, Issue 6, July 2026.
ABSTRACT Background Neck pain (NP) is a common global health problem, and persistent symptoms are often linked to psychological stress. How individuals respond to pain during daily activities is captured by activity patterns (eustress persistence, distress persistence, activity pacing and fear avoidance).
Rita Morf   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Beyond Average Hive Performance: Tail Risk Measurement in Italian Apiculture With Honey‐at‐Risk

open access: yesEnvironmetrics, Volume 37, Issue 5, July 2026.
ABSTRACT This paper provides a framework for measuring honey‐production risk that complements standard mean‐based analyses by explicitly targeting downside tail risk. Using hive‐weight data from a large sample of Italian hives over the period 2021–2024, downside tail risk is quantified through the Honey‐at‐Risk (HaR) metric, defined as the quantile of ...
Alessio Brini   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Forecasting Count Data With Varying Dispersion: A Latent‐Variable Approach

open access: yesJournal of Forecasting, Volume 45, Issue 4, Page 1985-2000, July 2026.
ABSTRACT Count data, such as product sales and disease case counts, are common in business forecasting and many areas of science. Although the Poisson distribution is the best known model for such data, its use is severely limited by its assumption that the dispersion is a fixed function of the mean, which rarely holds in real‐world scenarios.
Easton Huch   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Bayesian quantile additive regression trees [PDF]

open access: green, 2016
Bereket P. Kindo   +3 more
openalex   +1 more source

Forecasting Natural Gas Futures Price Volatility of the United States: National Versus State‐Level Climate Concern Indexes

open access: yesJournal of Futures Markets, Volume 46, Issue 7, Page 1275-1297, July 2026.
ABSTRACT This paper uses GARCH‐MIDAS to predict US natural gas futures volatility using national and state‐level Climate Concern Indexes (CCIs). We find that both national and state‐level CCIs positively affect price volatility. Notably, models using state‐level data—specifically those utilizing least‐squares (LS) weighting combinations—surpass the ...
Afees A. Salisu   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

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