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Philosophy of Science, 2016
Say that an agent is epistemically humble if she is less than fully confident that her opinions will converge to the truth, given appropriate evidence. Is such humility rationally permissible? According to Gordon Belot’s orgulity argument: the answer is yes, but long-run convergence-to-the-truth theorems force Bayesians to answer no.
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Say that an agent is epistemically humble if she is less than fully confident that her opinions will converge to the truth, given appropriate evidence. Is such humility rationally permissible? According to Gordon Belot’s orgulity argument: the answer is yes, but long-run convergence-to-the-truth theorems force Bayesians to answer no.
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1986
In this paper Bayesian methods are applied to dynamical linear models \[ Y_ t=F_ t\theta_ t+v_ t,\quad \theta_ t=G_ t\theta_{t- 1}+w_ t, \] with normal distribution assumptions and dynamical generalized linear models with observations of the exponential family.
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In this paper Bayesian methods are applied to dynamical linear models \[ Y_ t=F_ t\theta_ t+v_ t,\quad \theta_ t=G_ t\theta_{t- 1}+w_ t, \] with normal distribution assumptions and dynamical generalized linear models with observations of the exponential family.
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Bayesian economists … Bayesian agents
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 1993Mahmoud A. El-Gamal +1 more
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