Results 91 to 100 of about 6,155,869 (288)
Business-Cycle Filtering of Macroeconomic Data Via A Latent Business-Cycle Index [PDF]
We use Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods to augment a vector autoregressive system with a latent business cycle index that is negative during recessions and positive during expansions. We then sample counterfactual values of the macroeconomic variables in
Charles Nelson, Michael Dueker
core +3 more sources
How is Tax Policy Conducted over the Business Cycle?
, 2015 It is well known by now that government spending has typically been procyclical in developing economies but acyclical or countercyclical in industrial countries.
Carlos A. Vegh, G. Vúletin
semanticscholar +1 more source
Dating the business cycle: Evidence from Mongolia
Central Bank Review, 2019 Business cycle is an important indicator for making policy and management decisions. This paper compares the business cycle estimates for Mongolia based on a graphical and parametric methods.
Davaajargal Luvsannyam +2 more
doaj
Business cycle accounting [PDF]
We propose a simple method to help researchers develop quantitative models of economic fluctuations. The method rests on the insight that many models are equivalent to a prototype growth model with time-varying wedges which resemble productivity, labor ...
Ellen R. McGrattan +2 more
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Leverage Dynamics over the Business Cycle
, 2015 Surprisingly little is known about the business cycle dynamics of leverage. The existing evidence documents that target leverage evolves pro-cyclically either for all firms or financially constrained ones.
M. Halling, Jin Yu, J. Zechner
semanticscholar +1 more source
Business cycle measures can provide timely statistical evidence of turning points.Business ...
Kristie M. Engemann, Michael T. Owyang
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Credit-Market Sentiment and the Business Cycle
, 2015 Using U.S. data from 1929 to 2015, we show that elevated credit-market sentiment in year t − 2 is associated with a decline in economic activity in years t and t + 1.
semanticscholar +1 more source
The business cycle and the life cycle [PDF]
The paper documents how cyclical fluctuations in market work vary over the life cycle and then assesses the predictions of a life-cycle version of the growth model for those observations. The analysis yields a simple but striking finding.
Paul Gomme +3 more
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Entrepreneurship and the business cycle [PDF]
IZA World of Labor, 2014 Entrepreneurship has a cyclical component, raising two questions. Is the entrepreneurship cycle related to the business cycle? And is there causality? A two-way relationship between entrepreneurship and the business cycle would be in line with the two faces of entrepreneurs: as agents of change creating upswings (opportunity entrepreneurship) and as ...
openaire +4 more sources
The relationship of savings in some important variables in the business cycle
PSL Quarterly Review, 2014 The article analyses, in mathematical terms, the relationship of savings to some variables in the business cycle. Referring back to the line of thought developed in his book Total Business Fluctuations (Gainesville, Kallman, 1949), the author criticises ...
M.D. ANDERSON
doaj +1 more source