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Grown-up Business Cycles [PDF]
The Review of Financial Studies, 2014 We document two striking facts about U.S. firm dynamics and interpret their significance for employment dynamics. The first is the dramatic decline in firm entry and the second is the gradual shift of employment toward older firms since 1980. We show that despite these trends, the lifecycle dynamics of firms and their business cycle properties have ...
Pugsley, Benjamin, Sahin, Aysegul
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Predicting turning points in the South African economy
South African Journal of Economic and Management Sciences, 2003 Despite the existence of macroeconomic models and complex business cycle indicators, it would be beneficial to policymakers and market participants if they could look at one well-chosen indicator in predicting business cycle turning points.
Elna Moolman
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Interregional Integration and Business Cycles Synchronization in the Russian Economic Space
Prostranstvennaâ Èkonomika, 2023 The article examines the relationship between the degree of interregional integration of Russian regions and the corresponding national-regional business cycles synchronization based on quarterly statistics on the unemployment rate for 2010–2020.
Artyom Gennadyevich Isaev
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International Real Business Cycles [PDF]
Journal of Political Economy, 1991 We ask whether a two-country real business cycle model can account simultaneously for domestic and international aspects of business cycles. With this question in mind, we document a number of discrepancies between theory and data. The most striking discrepancy concerns the correlations of consumption and output across countries.
David K. Backus +2 more
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Business Cycle Synchronization Between CEE Countries and Euro Zone
Acta Universitatis Lodziensis. Folia Oeconomica, 2017 The main aim of the article is to estimate the level of business cycles synchronization between Central and Eastern European Countries (CCECs) and euro area.
Katarzyna Piłat
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Spectral Analysis Of Business Cycles In The Visegrad Group Countries [PDF]
, 2017 This paper examines the business cycle properties of Visegrad group countries. The main objective is to identify business cycles in these countries and to study the relationships between them.
Kijek, Arkadiusz
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Financial Business Cycles [PDF]
International Finance Discussion Papers, 2014 Using Bayesian methods, I estimate a DSGE model where a recession is initiated by losses suffered by banks and exacerbated by their inability to extend credit to the real sector. The event triggering the recession has the workings of a redistribution shock: a small sector of the economy -- borrowers who use their home as collateral -- defaults on their
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Poland’s business cycle in the context of the world cycle
Ekonomia i Prawo, 2009 The analysis begins with a synthetic discussion of the current state of the business cycle theory. Three groups of current theories have been briefly discussed: the real business cycle theory, the Neoschumpeter theory and those formulated within the ...
Barbara Polszakiewicz
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Spillover index for European business cycle [PDF]
Revista de Studii Financiare, 2020 The Covid-19 pandemic has had a significant impact on the international economy. The paper analyses the interdependence between the business cycles of the European Union economies to capture the effect of the Covid-19 pandemic on them.
Marius Cristian Acatrinei
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International Business Cycle Accounting [PDF]
, 2009 In this paper, I extend the business cycle accounting method a la Chari, Kehoe and McGrattan (2007) to a two-country international business cycle model and quantify the effect of the disturbances in relevant markets on the business cycle correlation ...
Otsu, Keisuke
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