Results 1 to 10 of about 43,282 (217)
International Business Cycles and the ERM: Is There a European Business Cycle? [PDF]
International Journal of Finance and Economics, 1997 This study uses a combination of quantitative and qualitative models to predict business failure with an appreciable degree of accuracy and/or precision. Quantitatively, the study used Factor Analysis (FA) to reduce the dimensionality of the data and further employed the Generalised Linear Modelling (GLM) technique which skips and/or relaxes the use of
Artis, Michael J, Zhang, Wenda
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Housing and the Business Cycle [PDF]
Finance and Economics Discussion Series, 2003 In the United States, the percentage standard deviation of residential investment is more than twice that of non-residential investment. In addition, GDP, consumption, and both types of investment co-move positively. We reproduce these facts in a calibrated multi-sector growth model where construction, manufacturing and services are combined, in ...
Morris A. Davis, Jonathan Heathcote
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Measuring business cycles with business-cycle models [PDF]
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 1996 zbMATH Open Web Interface contents unavailable due to conflicting licenses.
Allan W. Gregory, Gregor W. Smith
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Turbulent Business Cycles [PDF]
Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, Working Paper Series, 2022 Firm-level evidence suggests that turbulence that reshuffles firms’ productivity rankings rises sharply in recessions. An increase in turbulence reallocates labor and capital from high- to low-productivity firms, reducing aggregate TFP and the stock market value of firms.
Ding Dong, Zheng Liu, Pengfei Wang
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The Seasonal Cycle and the Business Cycle [PDF]
Journal of Political Economy, 1989 Almost all recent research on macroeconomic fluctuations has worked with seasonally-adjusted or annual data. This paper takes a different approach by examining the seasonal movements themselves. The authors' results show that seasonal fluctuations are an important source of variation in all macroeconomic quantity variables, but are small or absent in ...
Robert B. Barsky, Jeffrey A. Miron
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Are These Classical Business Cycles? [PDF]
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2000 The aim of this paper is to test formally the classical business cycle hypothesis, using data from industrialized countries for the time period since 1960. The hypothesis is characterized by the view that the cyclical structure in GDP is concentrated in the investment series: fixed investment has typically a long cycle, while the cycle in inventory ...
Michael Reiter, Ulrich Woitek
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The Business Cycle and the Life Cycle [PDF]
NBER Macroeconomics Annual, 2004 Our paper documents the differences in the variability of hours worked over the business cycle across several demographic groups and shows that these differences are large. We argue that understanding these differences should be useful in understanding the forces that account for aggregate fluctuations in hours worked.
Paul Gomme +3 more
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Polarized business cycles [PDF]
Journal of Monetary Economics, 2013 We are motivated by four stylized facts computed for emerging and developed economies: (i) business cycle movements are wider in emerging countries; (ii) economies in emerging countries experience greater economic policy uncertainty; (iii) emerging economies are more polarized and less politically stable; and (iv) economic policy uncertainty is ...
Marina Azzimonti, Matthew Talbert
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Economic Synopses, 2010 Views expressed do not necessarily reflect official positions of the Federal Reserve System. At the time this cover page was written, the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) had not yet announced the official end of the recession. Many economists, however, believe that it ended in mid-2009.
Kristie M. Engemann, Michael T. Owyang
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Business Cycle and Small Business
Engineering Economics, 2006 The authors present the object of small business during the business cycle. The article deals with a deep analysis of the economic indicators of small business, and the behavior of small business during the business cycle. There are pointed out two main economic indicators – the GDP and the ratio of employment.
Navickas, Valentinas +2 more
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