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HOUSING MARKET CYCLES IN THE CONTEXT OF BUSINESS CYCLES
Housing markets as well as the overall economy develop unevenly. Business cycles are the result of the diverse dynamics of their development. The housing market, as one of the components of economic systems, is influenced by business cycles, at the same ...
Żelazowski Konrad
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International Real Business Cycles [PDF]
We ask whether a two-country real business cycle model can account simultaneously for domestic and international aspects of business cycles. With this question in mind, we document a number of discrepancies between theory and data. The most striking discrepancy concerns the correlations of consumption and output across countries.
David K. Backus +2 more
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New technologies, business cycles: Controversies and paradoxes [PDF]
Debates over the business cycle in the economic theory have been continuously carried out. Some have, but others have not adopted tricyclic, or multicyclic scheme because so far they have not or even have been convinced by the Kondratiev's theoretical ...
Katanić Zoran +2 more
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Nowcasting of Russian manufacturing output using business survey data [PDF]
This article is devoted to checking the possibility of using business survey data surveys to nowcasting of Russian manufacturing output: analysis of business cycles and short-term forecasting (1 month ahead).
R. E. Gartvich
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Economic and Financial Transactions Govern Business Cycles [PDF]
Problem/Relevance - This paper presents new description of the business cycles that for decades remain as relevant and important economic problem. Research Objective/Questions - We propose that econometrics can provide sufficient data for assessments of
Victor Olkhov
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This paper has decomposed, statistically, the real GDP of Iran into three components, long run trend, business cycles and short-run shocks. This is devoted to the empirical measurement, identification and causes of the business cycles.
Ebrahim Hadian, Mohammadreza Hashempour
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Business cycles and energy intensity. Evidence from emerging economies
Reducing energy intensity and coping with climate change are important policy issues that face all countries. This study examines the impact of business cycles (recessions and expansions) on energy intensity in sixteen emerging countries in 1990–2014. We
Tinghui Li, Xue Li, Gaoke Liao
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Financial Business Cycles [PDF]
Using Bayesian methods, I estimate a DSGE model where a recession is initiated by losses suffered by banks and exacerbated by their inability to extend credit to the real sector. The event triggering the recession has the workings of a redistribution shock: a small sector of the economy -- borrowers who use their home as collateral -- defaults on their
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Demand uncertainty, inventory and business cycles
This paper introduces demand uncertainty and inventory into a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model. We assume that firms must predict demand before production. The purpose of this study is to investigate the effects of several exogenous shocks on
Kenichi Tamegawa
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BUSINESS CYCLES, ELECTORAL CYCLES. TOWARD A THEORETICAL FRAME OF INTERACTION [PDF]
The idea of cyclical movement of a system: be it political, economic, institutional, is one of the constants of critical thinking. In this sense, there is a natural cyclic movement that cannot be avoided (only amplified or diminished) and is connected ...
BOGDAN-LUCIAN DOSPINESCU
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