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Generalized financial cycle theory from the Minsky’s perspective: UK 1270–2016
Journal of Business Economics and Management, 2020 Our study aims to bridge the gap between contemporary studies on financial cycles and the financial instability hypothesis in the form of a Minsky cycle (Minsky, 1963).
Małgorzata Porada-Rochoń +1 more
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Economic Synopses, 2010 Views expressed do not necessarily reflect official positions of the Federal Reserve System. At the time this cover page was written, the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) had not yet announced the official end of the recession. Many economists, however, believe that it ended in mid-2009.
Kristie M. Engemann, Michael T. Owyang
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HOUSING MARKET CYCLES IN THE CONTEXT OF BUSINESS CYCLES
Real Estate Management and Valuation, 2017 Housing markets as well as the overall economy develop unevenly. Business cycles are the result of the diverse dynamics of their development. The housing market, as one of the components of economic systems, is influenced by business cycles, at the same ...
Żelazowski Konrad
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İŞ ÇEVRİMLERİNİN LİNEER OLMAYAN DİNAMİKLERİ: GOODWİN’İN BÜYÜME ÇEVRİMLERİ VE AMPİRİK BİR UYGULAMA
Journal of Business Administration and Social Studies, 2021 The most striking dichotomy in business cycles literature is related to the nature of oscillations. The idea that markets are self-adjusted and intrinsically stable, so that in the absence of continuing exogeneous shocks, the economy would tend toward a
Önder YERLİKAYA
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Investigating the Impact of Iran-Germany Business Cycle Synchronization on the Friction and Depth of Financial Markets in Iran (Markov Switching Bayesian VAR Method) [PDF]
تحقیقات مالی, 2017 The synchronization of business cycles is one of the latest issues that has been raised recently in the field of international trade as economic integration between countries has increased.
Raziyeh AmirTeimoori +2 more
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Borders and business cycles [PDF]
Journal of International Economics, 1999 We document that business cycles of U.S. Census regions are substantially more synchronized than those of European Union countries, both over the past four decades and the past two decades. Data from regions within the four largest European countries confirm the presence of a European border effectwithin-country correlations are substantially larger ...
Todd E. Clark, Eric Van Wincoop
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فصلنامه پژوهشهای اقتصادی ایران, 2003 This paper has decomposed, statistically, the real GDP of Iran into three components, long run trend, business cycles and short-run shocks. This is devoted to the empirical measurement, identification and causes of the business cycles.
Ebrahim Hadian, Mohammadreza Hashempour
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Liquidity and Business Cycles—With Occasional Disruptions
Econometrics, 2023 Some financial disruptions that started in California, U.S., in March 2023, resulting in the closure of several medium-size U.S. banks, shed new light on the role of liquidity in business cycle dynamics.
Willi Semmler +2 more
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Housing Is the Business Cycle [PDF]
, 2013 Of the components of GDP, residential investment offers by far the best early warning sign of an oncoming recession. Since World War II we have had eight recessions preceded by substantial problems in housing and consumer durables. Housing did not give an early warning of the Department of Defense Downturn after the Korean Armistice in 1953 or the ...
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Financial Business Cycles [PDF]
International Finance Discussion Papers, 2014 Using Bayesian methods, I estimate a DSGE model where a recession is initiated by losses suffered by banks and exacerbated by their inability to extend credit to the real sector. The event triggering the recession has the workings of a redistribution shock: a small sector of the economy -- borrowers who use their home as collateral -- defaults on their
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