Results 31 to 40 of about 88,442 (266)
Predicting turning points in the South African economy
South African Journal of Economic and Management Sciences, 2003 Despite the existence of macroeconomic models and complex business cycle indicators, it would be beneficial to policymakers and market participants if they could look at one well-chosen indicator in predicting business cycle turning points.
Elna Moolman
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Business Cycle Synchronization Between CEE Countries and Euro Zone
Acta Universitatis Lodziensis. Folia Oeconomica, 2017 The main aim of the article is to estimate the level of business cycles synchronization between Central and Eastern European Countries (CCECs) and euro area.
Katarzyna Piłat
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Investigating the Effect of Macroeconomic Variables on Business Cycles in Iran, Markov-Switching Model Approach [PDF]
مدلسازی اقتصادسنجی, 2020 One of the key issues that economists face when analyzing the evolution of economic activity is the attempt to explain business cycles. The behavior of macro variables during the business cycles and the effect of monetary and fiscal policy on their ...
Mohammad Ali Asaadi +2 more
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No News in Business Cycles [PDF]
The Economic Journal, 2012 This paper uses a structural, large dimensional factor model to evaluate the role of 'news' shocks (shocks with a delayed effect on productivity) in generating the business cycle. We find that (i) existing small-scale VECM models are affected by 'non-fundamentalness' and therefore fail to recover the correct shock and impulse response functions; (ii ...
Forni, Mario, Gambetti, Luca, Sala, Luca
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Poland’s business cycle in the context of the world cycle
Ekonomia i Prawo, 2009 The analysis begins with a synthetic discussion of the current state of the business cycle theory. Three groups of current theories have been briefly discussed: the real business cycle theory, the Neoschumpeter theory and those formulated within the ...
Barbara Polszakiewicz
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Investigation the Effect of Business Cycle on the Index of Economic Well-being in Iran [PDF]
فصلنامه پژوهشهای اقتصادی ایران, 2020 In any society, government officials and policymakers must take well-being into consideration as it is one of the main indicators of development and also a key element of social growth and development.
Hamidreza Horry +2 more
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Spillover index for European business cycle [PDF]
Revista de Studii Financiare, 2020 The Covid-19 pandemic has had a significant impact on the international economy. The paper analyses the interdependence between the business cycles of the European Union economies to capture the effect of the Covid-19 pandemic on them.
Marius Cristian Acatrinei
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THE IMPACT OF BUSINESS CONDITIONS ON RETAILERS AND WHOLESALERS: DOES LEVERAGE MATTER? [PDF]
Analele Universităţii Constantin Brâncuşi din Târgu Jiu : Seria Economie, 2021 In this study, I examine the impact of business conditions on high-leverage and low-leverage U.S. retailers and wholesalers during the 2000-2005 period. I focus on firms’ profitability and liquidity values.
HALIL D. KAYA
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Expectational Business Cycles [PDF]
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2004 I introduce Expectational Business Cycles where aggregate activity fluctuates due to learning, heterogeneous updating rules and random changes in the social norm predictor. Agents use one of two updating rules to learn the equilibrium values while heterogeneity is dictated via an evolutionary process. Uncertainty of a new equilibrium, due to a shock to
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Business Cycle Narratives [PDF]
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2018 Research about narratives’ role in economics is scarce, while real word experience and research in other sciences suggest they matter a lot. This article proposes a view and methodology for quantifying the epidemiology of media narratives relevant to business cycles in the US, Japan, and Europe.
Larsen, Vegard Høghaug +1 more
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