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Business Cycle and Small Business
The authors present the object of small business during the business cycle. The article deals with a deep analysis of the economic indicators of small business, and the behavior of small business during the business cycle. There are pointed out two main economic indicators – the GDP and the ratio of employment.
Navickas, Valentinas +2 more
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Business Cycle Narratives [PDF]
Research about narratives’ role in economics is scarce, while real word experience and research in other sciences suggest they matter a lot. This article proposes a view and methodology for quantifying the epidemiology of media narratives relevant to business cycles in the US, Japan, and Europe.
Larsen, Vegard Høghaug +1 more
openaire +5 more sources
Dating the business cycle: Evidence from Mongolia
Business cycle is an important indicator for making policy and management decisions. This paper compares the business cycle estimates for Mongolia based on a graphical and parametric methods.
Davaajargal Luvsannyam +2 more
doaj +1 more source
Coordinating Business Cycles [PDF]
We develop a quantitative theory of business cycles with coordination failures. Because of demand complementarities and increasing returns, firms seek to coordinate production and multiple equilibria arise. We use a global game approach to discipline equilibrium selection and show that the unique dynamic equilibrium exhibits multiple steady states ...
Mathieu Taschereau-Dumouchel +1 more
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TRI-CYCLES ANALYSIS ON BANK PERFORMANCE: PANEL VAR APPROACH
The previous financial crisis has revealed the importance of risk in the financial and business cycle within the economy. This paper examines relationship among three cycles in the economy, namely (i) business cycle macro risk, (ii) credit cycle and (iii)
Denny Irawan, Febrio Kacaribu
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Views expressed do not necessarily reflect official positions of the Federal Reserve System. At the time this cover page was written, the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) had not yet announced the official end of the recession. Many economists, however, believe that it ended in mid-2009.
Kristie M. Engemann, Michael T. Owyang
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Predicting turning points in the South African economy
Despite the existence of macroeconomic models and complex business cycle indicators, it would be beneficial to policymakers and market participants if they could look at one well-chosen indicator in predicting business cycle turning points.
Elna Moolman
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Business Cycle Synchronization Between CEE Countries and Euro Zone
The main aim of the article is to estimate the level of business cycles synchronization between Central and Eastern European Countries (CCECs) and euro area.
Katarzyna Piłat
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Borders and business cycles [PDF]
We document that business cycles of U.S. Census regions are substantially more synchronized than those of European Union countries, both over the past four decades and the past two decades. Data from regions within the four largest European countries confirm the presence of a European border effectwithin-country correlations are substantially larger ...
Todd E. Clark, Eric Van Wincoop
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Poland’s business cycle in the context of the world cycle
The analysis begins with a synthetic discussion of the current state of the business cycle theory. Three groups of current theories have been briefly discussed: the real business cycle theory, the Neoschumpeter theory and those formulated within the ...
Barbara Polszakiewicz
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