Results 41 to 50 of about 1,365,066 (347)
EMPLOYMENT AND THE BUSINESS CYCLE [PDF]
This paper investigates the differences in the cyclical dynamics in employment on non‐agricultural payroll (ENAP) and total civilian employment (TCE), and the implications for monitoring US business cycles in real time. We find that employment measures have diverged considerably around the last three recessions and subsequent recoveries.
Marcelle, Chauvet, Jeremy, Piger
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Spillover index for European business cycle [PDF]
The Covid-19 pandemic has had a significant impact on the international economy. The paper analyses the interdependence between the business cycles of the European Union economies to capture the effect of the Covid-19 pandemic on them.
Marius Cristian Acatrinei
doaj
Ambiguous Business Cycles [PDF]
This paper studies a New Keynesian business cycle model with agents who are averse to ambiguity (Knightian uncertainty). Shocks to confidence about future TFP are modeled as changes in ambiguity. To assess the size of those shocks, our estimation uses not only data on standard macro variables, but also incorporates the dispersion of survey forecasts ...
Ilut, CL, Schneider, M
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Business cycle – growth nexus: a review
Frequent reversals in business cycles pose the question whether country can achieve macroeconomic stability and/or economic growth by coordinating its economic policies. Thus, what is the role of economic policy within the short/long run in amplifying or
Marinko Škare, Daniel Tomić
doaj +1 more source
International Business Cycle Accounting [PDF]
In this paper, I extend the business cycle accounting method a la Chari, Kehoe and McGrattan (2007) to a two-country international business cycle model and quantify the effect of the disturbances in relevant markets on the business cycle correlation ...
Otsu, Keisuke
core +2 more sources
Markups and the Business Cycle [PDF]
From page 63 -- 'Perfectly competitive models of the effects of aggregate demand variations on output and employment have great difficulty generating patterns of comovement among aggregate variables that resemble typical 'business cycle' patterns (Barro and King, 1984).
Julio J. Rotemberg, Michael Woodford
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Designing and Delivering Effective Faculty Development With the Adult Learner in Mind
ABSTRACT University faculty are busy professionals tasked with many different responsibilities. While they certainly care about student success, their expertise is generally discipline‐specific and strategies for effective and engaging teaching are developed in the classroom along the way.
Nancy V. Winfrey
wiley +1 more source
The role of automatic stabilizers in business cycle: the case of indonesia
TThe use of large fiscal stimulus packages to dampen the impact of Covid-19 recently has raised concerns about the effectiveness of the discretionary fiscal policy.
Haryo Kuncoro
doaj +1 more source
Expectational Business Cycles [PDF]
I introduce Expectational Business Cycles where aggregate activity fluctuates due to learning, heterogeneous updating rules and random changes in the social norm predictor. Agents use one of two updating rules to learn the equilibrium values while heterogeneity is dictated via an evolutionary process. Uncertainty of a new equilibrium, due to a shock to
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We develop a theory of endogenous and stochastic fluctuations in economic activity. Individual firms choose to randomize over firing or keeping workers who performed poorly in the past to give them an ex ante incentive to exert effort. Different firms choose to correlate the outcome of their randomization to reduce the probability with which they fire ...
Guido Menzio+2 more
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