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Traces of business cycles in credit-rating migrations. [PDF]
PLoS ONE, 2017 Using migration data of a rating agency, this paper attempts to quantify the impact of macroeconomic conditions on credit-rating migrations. The migrations are modeled as a coupled Markov chain, where the macroeconomic factors are represented by ...
Dmitri Boreiko +3 more
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Turbulent Business Cycles [PDF]
Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, Working Paper Series, 2022 Firm-level evidence suggests that turbulence that reshuffles firms’ productivity rankings rises sharply in recessions. An increase in turbulence reallocates labor and capital from high- to low-productivity firms, reducing aggregate TFP and the stock market value of firms.
Ding Dong, Zheng Liu, Pengfei Wang
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Simulation of business and financial cycles: Self-oscillation and synchronization [PDF]
Известия высших учебных заведений: Прикладная нелинейная динамика, 2021 The purpose of this work is to research the phenomena of the self-oscillation and the synchronization for the model of business and financial oscillator, which presented as the system of automatic control. Methods.
Matrosov, Valerij Vladimirovich +1 more
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Consumers’ Innovativeness and Responsible Consumption [PDF]
Problemy Zarządzania, 2018 The grounds for considerations and the analysis in this article are provided by two phenomena: consumers’ innovativeness and responsible consumption. The aim of considerations and the analysis is to seek the impact of consumers’ innovativeness on the ...
prof. dr hab. Anna Olejniczuk-Merta +2 more
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Measuring business cycles with business-cycle models [PDF]
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 1996 zbMATH Open Web Interface contents unavailable due to conflicting licenses.
Allan W. Gregory, Gregor W. Smith
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Carbon Border Adjustment and Other Trade Policy Approaches for Climate Protection
Intereconomics, 2021 The idea of a carbon border adjustment mechanism (CBAM) is crucial to level the playing field between domestic producers and foreign suppliers of carbon-intensive products.
Galina Kolev
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American Economic Review, 2020 We propose a new strategy for dissecting the macroeconomic time series, provide a template for the business-cycle propagation mechanism that best describes the data, and use its properties to appraise models of both the parsimonious and the medium-scale variety.
Angeletos, George-Marios +2 more
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Business Cycle Narratives [PDF]
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2018 Research about narratives’ role in economics is scarce, while real word experience and research in other sciences suggest they matter a lot. This article proposes a view and methodology for quantifying the epidemiology of media narratives relevant to business cycles in the US, Japan, and Europe.
Larsen, Vegard Høghaug +1 more
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Polarized business cycles [PDF]
Journal of Monetary Economics, 2013 We are motivated by four stylized facts computed for emerging and developed economies: (i) business cycle movements are wider in emerging countries; (ii) economies in emerging countries experience greater economic policy uncertainty; (iii) emerging economies are more polarized and less politically stable; and (iv) economic policy uncertainty is ...
Marina Azzimonti, Matthew Talbert
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Economic Synopses, 2010 Views expressed do not necessarily reflect official positions of the Federal Reserve System. At the time this cover page was written, the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) had not yet announced the official end of the recession. Many economists, however, believe that it ended in mid-2009.
Kristie M. Engemann, Michael T. Owyang
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