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Inventories and the Business Cycle* [PDF]
This paper examines the relationship between the inventory cy and the business cycle using both macroeconomic and survey da It is argued that over the past decade and a half, the changes inventory management have reduced the amplitude of the inventc cycle.
Darren Flood, Philip Lowe
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On the Minskyan Business Cycle [PDF]
Minsky’s seminal contribution was to underscore the importance of speculation in economic activity. Emphasizing that a firm’s investment decision is inherently a speculative one, he reintroduced asset prices into the Keynesian theory of investment. Any decision to acquire real capital assets, as he was keen to emphasize, bequeathes the firm a certain ...
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SSRN Electronic Journal, 2021
Using a wide variety of business cycle dating and filtering techniques, this paper documents the cyclical behavior of the post-tax income distribution in the US. First, all incomes are cyclical and co-move with the business cycle. Second, lower and higher income individuals experience significantly larger fluctuations across the business cycle than ...
Dany-Knedlik, Geraldine +2 more
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Using a wide variety of business cycle dating and filtering techniques, this paper documents the cyclical behavior of the post-tax income distribution in the US. First, all incomes are cyclical and co-move with the business cycle. Second, lower and higher income individuals experience significantly larger fluctuations across the business cycle than ...
Dany-Knedlik, Geraldine +2 more
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This note outlines and discusses some of the strands in the post-Keynesian literature on business cycles. Most post-Keynesians have focused on endogenously generated cycles, but the mechanism varies: some focus on the goods market, others on financial markets, the labor market, or political intervention. The merits of formal modeling of the cycles have
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SSRN Electronic Journal, 2021
Abstract A large psychology literature argues that, due to selective memory recall, decision-makers’ forecasts of the future are overly influenced by the perceived news. We adopt the diagnostic expectations (DE) paradigm [Bordalo et al. (2018), Journal of Finance, 73, 199–227] to capture this feature of belief formation, develop a method
Bianchi, Francesco +2 more
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Abstract A large psychology literature argues that, due to selective memory recall, decision-makers’ forecasts of the future are overly influenced by the perceived news. We adopt the diagnostic expectations (DE) paradigm [Bordalo et al. (2018), Journal of Finance, 73, 199–227] to capture this feature of belief formation, develop a method
Bianchi, Francesco +2 more
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Journal of the American Statistical Association, 1930
(1930). Is There a Business Cycle? Journal of the American Statistical Association: Vol. 25, No. 170, pp. 207-209.
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(1930). Is There a Business Cycle? Journal of the American Statistical Association: Vol. 25, No. 170, pp. 207-209.
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SSRN Electronic Journal, 2015
We find that, when estimated, a two sector computable dynamic stochastic general equilibrium open economy model of the U.S. that formally admits energy into the production process can generate plausible parameter values that can be applied to deal with a broad range of economic issues. As a benchmark, we require that the model fits the data for output,
Meenagh, David +2 more
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We find that, when estimated, a two sector computable dynamic stochastic general equilibrium open economy model of the U.S. that formally admits energy into the production process can generate plausible parameter values that can be applied to deal with a broad range of economic issues. As a benchmark, we require that the model fits the data for output,
Meenagh, David +2 more
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Abstract We construct monthly economic activity indices for the 50 largest U.S. metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs) beginning in 1990. Each index is derived from a dynamic factor model based on twelve underlying variables capturing various aspects of metro area economic activity.
Arias, Maria A. +2 more
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Journal of Political Economy, 1983
In this paper we demonstrate how certain very ordinary economic principles lead maximizing individuals to choose consumption-production plans that display many of the characteristics commonly associated with business cycles. Our explanation is entirely consistent with (i) rational expectations, (ii) complete current information, (iii) stable ...
Long, John B, Jr, Plosser, Charles I
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In this paper we demonstrate how certain very ordinary economic principles lead maximizing individuals to choose consumption-production plans that display many of the characteristics commonly associated with business cycles. Our explanation is entirely consistent with (i) rational expectations, (ii) complete current information, (iii) stable ...
Long, John B, Jr, Plosser, Charles I
openaire +1 more source

