Results 121 to 130 of about 2,059 (191)

Learning Continuous Decomposable Models Using Mutual Information and Statistical Copulas. [PDF]

open access: yesEntropy (Basel)
Desuó Neto L   +3 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Markov Determinantal Point Process for Dynamic Random Sets

open access: yesJournal of Time Series Analysis, Volume 47, Issue 4, Page 784-802, July 2026.
ABSTRACT The Law of Determinantal Point Process (LDPP) is a flexible parametric family of distributions over random sets defined on a finite state space, or equivalently over multivariate binary variables. The aim of this paper is to introduce Markov processes of random sets within the LDPP framework. We show that, when the pairwise distribution of two
Christian Gouriéroux, Yang Lu
wiley   +1 more source

Robust Bernoulli Mixture Models for Credit Portfolio Risk

open access: yesMathematical Finance, Volume 36, Issue 3, Page 528-543, July 2026.
ABSTRACT This paper presents comparison results and establishes risk bounds for credit portfolios within classes of Bernoulli mixture models, assuming conditionally independent defaults that are stochastically increasing in a common risk factor. We provide simple and interpretable conditions on conditional default probabilities that imply a comparison ...
Jonathan Ansari, Eva Lütkebohmert
wiley   +1 more source

Volcanic Forcing Amplifies Extreme Wet‐to‐Dry in Pre‐Flood South China Driven by Internal Variability

open access: yesGeophysical Research Letters, Volume 53, Issue 11, 16 June 2026.
Abstract Dry‐wet whiplash events profoundly impact society and the environment, yet their attribution remain poorly understood. This study reveals that the unprecedented interannual wet‐to‐dry transition (return period: 979.2 years) in South China's 1962–1963 pre‐flood season is co‐driven by internal variability and volcanic forcing.
Qi Wen   +5 more
wiley   +1 more source

Large‐Scale Moisture Circulation Index Related to Socioeconomic Drought and Its Subseasonal Forecast Skill in the Asian Monsoon Rainy Season

open access: yesJournal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Volume 131, Issue 11, 16 June 2026.
Abstract Socioeconomic drought, which occurs when water demand exceeds available supply and often leads to water withdrawal restrictions, affects water resource management. However, the relationship between large‐scale moisture circulation and the occurrence of socioeconomic drought has not been well understood. In this study, we focused on the Yoshino
Yuta Tamaki, Noriko N. Ishizaki
wiley   +1 more source

The Multiscale Non‐Gaussian Statistics of Free‐Running 1000‐Member General Circulation Model Ensembles

open access: yesAtmospheric Science Letters, Volume 27, Issue 6, June 2026.
This study investigates the multiscale evolution of forecast distributions using 1000‐member global circulation model ensembles. Initially different distributions converge to the same time‐varying equilibrium distribution, and the equilibration time scale noticeably exceeds the variance saturation time. Prior to equilibration, the forecast distribution
Man‐Yau Chan   +5 more
wiley   +1 more source

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