Results 71 to 80 of about 12,886 (197)

A Conditional Tail Expectation Type Risk Measure for Time Series

Journal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We consider the estimation of the conditional expectation 𝔼(Xh|X0>UX(1/p)), provided 𝔼|X0|<∞, at extreme levels, where (Xt)t∈ℤ$$ {\left({X}_t\right)}_{t\in \mathbb{Z}} $$ is a strictly stationary time series, UX$$ {U}_X $$ its tail quantile function, h$$ h $$ is a positive integer and p∈(0,1)$$ p\in \left(0,1\right) $$ is such that p→0$$ p\to ...
Yuri Goegebeur, Armelle Guillou, Jing Qin   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Robust CDF‐Filtering of a Location Parameter

Journal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This paper introduces a novel framework for designing robust filters associated with signal plus noise models having symmetric observation density. The filters are obtained by a recursion where the innovation term is a transform of the cumulative distribution function of the residuals.
Leopoldo Catania, Andrew C. Harvey, Alessandra Luati   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Sequential Outlier Detection in Nonstationary Time Series

Journal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT A novel method for sequential outlier detection in nonstationary time series is proposed. The method tests the null hypothesis of “no outlier” at each time point, addressing the multiple testing problem by bounding the error probability of successive tests, using extreme‐value theory. The asymptotic properties of the test statistic are studied
Florian Heinrichs, Patrick Bastian, Holger Dette   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Empirical‐Process Limit Theory and Filter Approximation Bounds for Score‐Driven Time Series Models

Journal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This article examines the filtering and approximation‐theoretic properties of score‐driven time series models. Under specific Lipschitz‐type and tail conditions, new results are derived, leading to maximal and deviation inequalities for the filtering approximation error using empirical process theory.
Enzo D'Innocenzo
wiley   +1 more source

The fundamental theorem of asset pricing with and without transaction costs

Mathematical Finance, Volume 35, Issue 2, Page 567-609, April 2025.
Abstract We prove a version of the fundamental theorem of asset pricing (FTAP) in continuous time that is based on the strict no‐arbitrage condition and that is applicable to both frictionless markets and markets with proportional transaction costs. We consider a market with a single risky asset whose ask price process is higher than or equal to its ...
Christoph Kühn
wiley   +1 more source

Bayesian Inference for Joint Estimation Models Using Copulas to Handle Endogenous Regressors

Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This study proposes a Bayesian approach for finite‐sample inference of the Gaussian copula endogeneity correction. Extant studies use frequentist inference, build on a priori computed estimates of marginal distributions of explanatory variables, and use bootstrapping to obtain standard errors. The proposed Bayesian approach facilitates precise
Rouven E. Haschka
wiley   +1 more source

Global Bifurcation for Corotating and Counter-Rotating Vortex Pairs. [PDF]

Commun Math Phys, 2023
García C, Haziot SV.
europepmc   +1 more source

Degree theory for 4‐dimensional asymptotically conical gradient expanding solitons

Communications on Pure and Applied Mathematics, Volume 79, Issue 5, Page 1151-1298, May 2026.
Abstract We develop a new degree theory for 4‐dimensional, asymptotically conical gradient expanding solitons. Our theory implies the existence of gradient expanding solitons that are asymptotic to any given cone over S3$S^3$ with non‐negative scalar curvature. We also obtain a similar existence result for cones whose link is diffeomorphic to S3/Γ$S^3/\
Richard H. Bamler, Eric Chen
wiley   +1 more source

Isoperimetric inequalities on slabs with applications to cubes and Gaussian slabs

Communications on Pure and Applied Mathematics, Volume 79, Issue 4, Page 1012-1072, April 2026.
Abstract We study isoperimetric inequalities on “slabs”, namely weighted Riemannian manifolds obtained as the product of the uniform measure on a finite length interval with a codimension‐one base. As our two main applications, we consider the case when the base is the flat torus R2/2Z2$\mathbb {R}^2 / 2 \mathbb {Z}^2$ and the standard Gaussian measure
Emanuel Milman
wiley   +1 more source

Non‐vanishing of Poincaré series on average

Mathematika, Volume 72, Issue 2, April 2026.
Abstract We study when Poincaré series for congruence subgroups do not vanish identically. We show that almost all Poincaré series with suitable parameters do not vanish when either the weight k$k$ or the index m$m$ varies in a dyadic interval. Crucially, analyzing the problem ‘on average’ over these weights or indices allows us to prove non‐vanishing ...
Ned Carmichael, Noam Kimmel
wiley   +1 more source