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Medium and Long-Term Hydrogen Load Prediction Based on System Dynamics

open access: yesZhongguo dianli, 2023
Hydrogen energy will play a great role in various fields under the background of “double carbon”, it is important to carry out medium and long-term forecasting of hydrogen demand, and propose a medium and long-term forecasting model of provincial ...
Tiejiang YUAN   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Tourism Development During the Pandemic of Coronavirus (COVID-19): Evidence From Iran

open access: yesFrontiers in Public Health, 2022
The coronavirus (COVID-19) epidemic has created a great deal of fear and uncertainty about health, economy, and social life. Therefore, the health, social, and economic impacts of COVID-19 are of great importance.
Zeynab Hallaj   +4 more
doaj   +1 more source

CAUSAL ANALYSIS AFTER HAAVELMO [PDF]

open access: yesEconometric Theory, 2013
Haavelmo’s seminal 1943 and 1944 papers are the first rigorous treatment of causality. In them, he distinguished the definition of causal parameters from their identification. He showed that causal parameters are defined usinghypotheticalmodels that assign variation to some of the inputs determining outcomes while holding all other inputs fixed.
James Heckman, Rodrigo Pinto
openaire   +7 more sources

Machine Learning Incorporated With Causal Analysis for Short-Term Prediction of Sea Ice

open access: yesFrontiers in Marine Science, 2021
Accurate and fast prediction of sea ice conditions is the foundation of safety guarantee for Arctic navigation. Aiming at the imperious demand of short-term prediction for sea ice, we develop a new data-driven prediction technique for the sea ice ...
Ming Li   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Generalized Causal Mediation Analysis [PDF]

open access: yesBiometrics, 2011
The goal of mediation analysis is to assess direct and indirect effects of a treatment or exposure on an outcome. More generally, we may be interested in the context of a causal model as characterized by a directed acyclic graph (DAG), where mediation via a specific path from exposure to outcome may involve an arbitrary number of links (or "stages ...
Albert, Jeffrey M., Nelson, Suchitra
openaire   +3 more sources

Exploring Spatiotemporal Patterns of Expressway Traffic Accidents Based on Density Clustering and Bayesian Network

open access: yesISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information, 2023
Exploring spatiotemporal patterns of traffic accidents from historic crash databases is one essential prerequisite for road safety management and traffic risk prevention.
Yunfei Zhang   +4 more
doaj   +1 more source

International economic and social determinants of the state economic security: A causal analysis [PDF]

open access: yesProblems and Perspectives in Management, 2021
The priority task for ensuring the economic security of a country, which is especially noticeable in the rapidly changing conditions of the contemporary global world, is to forecast challenges and threats.
Volodymyr Orlov   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Use of causal analysis to improve the monitoring of the banking system stability [PDF]

open access: yesBanks and Bank Systems, 2018
According to the stages of the banking system stability monitoring, the analysis of caus¬al links is used to identify the causes of the crisis trends spreading and the rationale for the most effective levers of regulatory influence on the banking system ...
Oleh Kolodiziev   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

Prediction and Explanation in a Postmodern World

open access: yesFrontiers in Psychology, 2020
The experimental research paradigm lies at the core of empirical psychology. New data analytical and computational tools continually enrich its methodological arsenal, while the paradigm’s mission remains the testing of theoretical predictions and causal
Joachim I. Krueger
doaj   +1 more source

Retrospective Pretest and Counterfactual Self-Report: Different or Same?

open access: yesJournal of MultiDisciplinary Evaluation, 2019
Purpose: To examine discriminant validity of treatment participants’ self-report of the state they would be in had they not received treatment (counterfactual); specifically, the distinction between self-report of counterfactual and self-report of ...
Tony C.M. Lam, Edgar Valencia
doaj   +1 more source

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