Base-rate expectations modulate the causal illusion. [PDF]
PLoS ONE, 2019 Previous research revealed that people's judgments of causality between a target cause and an outcome in null contingency settings can be biased by various factors, leading to causal illusions (i.e., incorrectly reporting a causal relationship where ...
Fernando Blanco, Helena Matute
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Reducing the causal illusion: a question of motivation or of information? [PDF]
Royal Society Open ScienceThe causal illusion is a cognitive bias that involves believing that one event causes another when it does not. It has negative consequences in different spheres of life, including health. Therefore, diverse interventions have been designed to reduce it.
Aranzazu Vinas +2 more
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Illusions of causality: How they bias our everyday thinking and how they could be reduced [PDF]
Frontiers in Psychology, 2015 Illusions of causality occur when people develop the belief that there is a causal connection between two events that are actually unrelated. Such illusions have been proposed to underlie pseudoscience and superstitious thinking, sometimes leading to ...
Helena eMatute +5 more
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Causal illusion in the core of pseudoscientific beliefs: The role of information interpretation and search strategies. [PDF]
PLoS ONE, 2022 The prevalence of pseudoscientific beliefs in our societies negatively influences relevant areas such as health or education. Causal illusions have been proposed as a possible cognitive basis for the development of such beliefs.
Marta N Torres +2 more
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Scarcity affects cognitive biases: The case of the illusion of causality
Acta Psychologica, 2023 Previous research indicates that economic scarcity affects people's judgments, decisions, and cognition in a variety of contexts, and with various consequences. We hypothesized that scarcity could sometimes reduce cognitive biases. Specifically, it could
Aranzazu Vinas +2 more
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Instructing participants about the random assignment of patients to treated and non-treated conditions does not diminish causal illusions [PDF]
Royal Society Open SciencePeople sometimes perceive causal relationships between non-contingent events. When having to assess the contingency between a putative cause and an outcome, it is vital to ensure that all other causal forces are held constant whether the studied cause is
Ainoa Barreiro +2 more
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The combined effect of patient classification systems and availability of resources can bias the judgments of treatment effectiveness [PDF]
Scientific ReportsPatient classification systems (PCS) support clinical decision-making but may rely on incorrect, outdated, or insufficient data. Doctors can sometimes override errors using their experience.
Aranzazu Vinas +2 more
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Judgment and Decision Making, 2023 Previous research suggests that people may develop stronger causal illusions when the existence of a causal relationship is consistent with their prior beliefs.
Lucía Vicente +2 more
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An illusion of control modulates the reluctance to tempt fate [PDF]
Judgment and Decision Making, 2011 The tempting fate effect is that the probability of a fateful outcome is deemed higher following an action that “tempts” the outcome than in the absence of such an action.
Chloe L. Swirsky +2 more
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Uncertainty-based inference of a common cause for body ownership
eLife, 2022 Many studies have investigated the contributions of vision, touch, and proprioception to body ownership, i.e., the multisensory perception of limbs and body parts as our own. However, the computational processes and principles that determine subjectively
Marie Chancel +2 more
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