Results 221 to 230 of about 388,965 (312)

Playing with fire? A mean‐field game analysis of fire sales and systemic risk under regulatory capital constraints

open access: yesCanadian Journal of Statistics, EarlyView.
Abstract We analyze the effect of regulatory capital constraints on financial stability in a large homogeneous banking system using a mean‐field game (MFG) model. Each bank holds cash and a tradable risky asset. Banks choose absolutely continuous trading rates in order to maximize expected terminal equity, with trades subject to transaction costs ...
Rüdiger Frey, Theresa Traxler
wiley   +1 more source

A Markov approach to credit rating migration conditional on economic states

open access: yesCanadian Journal of Statistics, EarlyView.
Abstract We develop a model for credit rating migration that accounts for the impact of economic state fluctuations on default probabilities. The joint process for the economic state and the rating is modelled as a time‐homogeneous Markov chain. While the rating process itself possesses the Markov property only under restrictive conditions, methods ...
Michael Kalkbrener, Natalie Packham
wiley   +1 more source

Ordinal pattern-based change point detection. [PDF]

open access: yesTest (Madr)
Betken A, Micali G, Schmidt-Hieber J.
europepmc   +1 more source

Bayesian clustering of multivariate extremes

open access: yesCanadian Journal of Statistics, EarlyView.
Abstract The asymptotic dependence structure between multivariate extreme values is fully characterized by their projections on the unit simplex. Under mild conditions, the only constraint on the resulting distributions is that their marginal means must be equal, which results in a nonparametric model that can be difficult to use in applications ...
Sonia Alouini, Anthony C. Davison
wiley   +1 more source

Bayesian inverse ensemble forecasting for COVID‐19

open access: yesCanadian Journal of Statistics, EarlyView.
Abstract Variations in strains of COVID‐19 have a significant impact on the rate of surges and on the accuracy of forecasts of the epidemic dynamics. The primary goal for this article is to quantify the effects of varying strains of COVID‐19 on ensemble forecasts of individual “surges.” By modelling the disease dynamics with an SIR model, we solve the ...
Kimberly Kroetch, Don Estep
wiley   +1 more source

Fluctuation theorems for autonomous work. [PDF]

open access: yesProc Natl Acad Sci U S A
Jarzynski C, Deffner S, Rahav S.
europepmc   +1 more source

A goodness‐of‐fit test for regression models with discrete outcomes

open access: yesCanadian Journal of Statistics, EarlyView.
Abstract Regression models are often used to analyze discrete outcomes, but classical goodness‐of‐fit tests such as those based on the deviance or Pearson's statistic can be misleading or have little power in this context. To address this issue, we propose a new test, inspired by the work of Czado et al.
Lu Yang   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

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