Results 41 to 50 of about 22,272 (307)

The Impact of Uncertainty on Forecasting the US Economy

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This paper examines the predictive value of uncertainty measures for key macroeconomic indicators across multiple forecast horizons. We evaluate how different uncertainty proxies—economic policy uncertainty (EPU), VIX, geopolitical risk, and measures of macroeconomic and financial uncertainty—enhance forecast accuracy for industrial production,
Angelica Ghiselli
wiley   +1 more source

Knowledge sourcing, geopolitics, and FDI: An empirical analysis on the US green and digital sectors

Global Strategy Journal, EarlyView.
Abstract Research Summary This paper examines how foreign direct investment (FDI) shapes firms' sourcing of knowledge in the digital and green domains under rising geopolitical frictions. We assemble a firm–country dyadic panel (2013–2020) linking US patent backward citations to firms' FDI, enriched with bilateral geopolitical distance and host‐country
Alberto Maria Radici
wiley   +1 more source

The Impact of Civil Wars in Iraq and Syria on Middle East Security Complex (2011-2015) [PDF]

Faṣlnāmah-i Pizhūhish/hā-yi Rāhburdī-i Siyāsat, 2016
Middle East is a region in which conflict and disintegration is much more prevalent than integration and cooperation. Meanwhile, current civil wars in Iraq and Syria have effected regional security complex in the region.
Seyd Amir Niakoee, Ali Asghar Sotodeh
doaj  

Late Holocene environmental history of Dojran, Macedonia: Investigating the interplay of imperial dynamics and climatic change

Journal of Quaternary Science, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This study presents a high‐resolution, multi‐proxy reconstruction of environmental and land‐use change from Lake Dojran over historical times (last 2500 years), combining pollen, biomarkers, radiocarbon dating, Ottoman taxation records and other historical data.
Alessia Masi, Lucrezia Masci, Georgios C. Liakopoulos, Monica Bini, Alexander Francke, Ilaria Isola, Carlo Ricotta, Laura Sadori, Alexander Sarantis, Sławomir Sprawski, Jakub Sypiański, Irene Tunno, Cristiano Vignola, Bernd Wagner, Giovanni Zanchetta, Adam Izdebski   +15 more
wiley   +1 more source

Cultural Echoes: How World’s Famous Wars Shaped George Lucas’s Star Wars Saga

Language, Culture, Politics
This paper offers a comprehensive examination of the profound connections between George Lucas’s Star Wars saga and several major historical military conflicts, specifically the American Civil War, the Second World War, and the civil war in Sierra Leone.
Iryna Biskub, Wojciech Żołnacz
doaj   +1 more source

Civil War and Intervention in Russia and the Russian North: Current and Debatable Problems

Historia provinciae: журнал региональной истории, 2018
The article is devoted to the analysis of the current position in the history and historiography of the Civil War in Russia and the Russian North in connection with the centenary of these events.
Vladislav Goldin
doaj   +1 more source

Intervention in XIXth century international law and the distinction between rebellions, insurrections and civil wars [PDF]

, 2020
The present article looks at how some of these customary rules on foreign intervention in situations of internal unrest developed. In particular, different forms of internal unrest are examined in order to establish whether they entailed different ...
Roscini, M.
core   +1 more source

Institutional Fragility and E‐Business Adoption: A Study of SMEs in a Conflict‐Affected Economy

Strategic Change, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This study examines e‐business adoption among SMEs in Yemen, a conflict‐affected and institutionally fragile economy. Drawing on a mixed‐methods design, it combines Partial Least Squares Structural Equation Modelling (PLS‐SEM) with qualitative interviews to analyse how war and firm size moderate the effects of key adoption drivers and barriers.
Ahmed Abdullah, Ahmed Almoraish, Abdul‐Fatahi Abdulai, Ahmad Samed Al‐Adwan, Wail Alhakimi, Ziad Abdelmoety   +5 more
wiley   +1 more source

The dialectics of trauma and political conscientization: A psychosocial study of activism for supporting sexual and gender minoritized communities in Brazil

Journal of Traumatic Stress, EarlyView.
Abstract This qualitative study examined the dialectical association between psychosocial trauma and political conscientization in the lives of activists advocating for persons with marginalized sexual orientations and gender identities (2SLGBTQIA+) in São José dos Campos, Brazil.
Gab C. Siqueira, Luisa F. Velásquez Vallejo, Antonio Euzebios Filho   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Civil war theory testing: How greed, horizontal inequalities, and institutions explain the Yemeni civil war between 2004 and 2009?

Köz-gazdaság, 2019
This article applies a comparative design to test the explanatory power of formal quantitative models of civil war. It examines the grievance, horizontal inequalities, and institutional models of civil war through the case study of the Yemeni civil war ...
Júlia Palik
doaj