Results 41 to 50 of about 13,156 (189)

Assessment of sea ice simulations in the CMIP5 models [PDF]

open access: yesThe Cryosphere, 2015
The historical simulations of sea ice during 1979 to 2005 by the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) are compared with satellite observations, Global Ice-Ocean Modeling and Assimilation System (GIOMAS) output data and Pan-Arctic Ice ...
Q. Shu, Z. Song, F. Qiao
doaj   +1 more source

Statistical Downscaling of Daily Temperature and Precipitation From Regional Climate Models in Complex Mountain Terrain

open access: yesInternational Journal of Climatology, EarlyView.
The study provides insights for post‐processing climate model output in complex terrain, useful for climate change impact models. We compared different bias adjustment and downscaling techniques from quantile delta mapping to simple lapse rates. We developed a new spatial downscaling method based on principal components analysis, which showed superior ...
Michael Matiu   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

Intercomparison of temperature trends in IPCC CMIP5 simulations with observations, reanalyses and CMIP3 models [PDF]

open access: yesGeoscientific Model Development, 2013
On the basis of the fifth Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) and the climate model simulations covering 1979 through 2005, the temperature trends and their uncertainties have been examined to note the similarities or differences compared to ...
J. Xu, A. M. Powell Jr., L. Zhao
doaj   +1 more source

Integrated species distribution modeling to assess species status and current and future threats for an imperiled amphibian

open access: yesConservation Science and Practice, EarlyView.
To understand the range‐wide drivers of Arizona Toad distribution and anticipate future changes, we combined 13 datasets covering distinct portions of the range in an integrated species distribution model. We estimate that the current occupied range is 1/4–1/3 of previously defined range boundaries and that increasingly dry conditions will lead to ...
C. Lane Scher   +14 more
wiley   +1 more source

Assessment of CMIP5 Models Based on the Interdecadal Relationship between the PDO and Winter Temperature in China

open access: yesAtmosphere, 2019
In this study, the impact of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) on the China winter temperature (CWT) was assessed on an interdecadal timescale, and the capacities of the 35 models of the fifth Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) were ...
Yifei Xu   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Atmospheric and oceanic conditions associated with Southern Australian heat waves: A CMIP5 analysis

open access: yes, 2014
Atmospheric and oceanic conditions associated with southern Australian heat waves are examined using phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) models.
Purich, Ariaan   +7 more
core   +1 more source

Uncertainty Quantification and Attribution for Resilient Infrastructure Systems

open access: yesClimate Resilience and Sustainability, Volume 5, Issue 2, December 2026.
Infrastructure resilience is critical for maintaining the delivery of essential services to society. However, although computational modelling is integral to infrastructure management, infrastructure model outputs are conditional on a range of uncertain assumptions, both in the present day and under future climate change.
Saskia Salwey   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

CMIP6 projects less frequent seasonal soil moisture droughts over China in response to different warming levels

open access: yesEnvironmental Research Letters, 2021
Seasonal drought occurrences are found to increase across different regions over China under global warming, but with large uncertainties among models. With ten selected Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) climate models and seven CMIP6
Sisi Chen, Xing Yuan
doaj   +1 more source

Climate Vulnerability of Australian Seafood Systems: A National Assessment of Exposure and Adaptive Capacity

open access: yesFisheries Oceanography, Volume 35, Issue 6, Page 849-864, November 2026.
ABSTRACT Marine waters are becoming warmer and acidified and experiencing more intense and longer heatwaves under climate change. These changes are already impacting marine ecosystems and seafood production, which are vital for supporting food security and economic productivity.
Stephanie Brodie   +12 more
wiley   +1 more source

Response of microbial decomposition to spin-up explains CMIP5 soil carbon range until 2100 [PDF]

open access: yesGeoscientific Model Development, 2014
Soil carbon storage simulated by the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) models varies 6-fold for the present day. Here, we confirm earlier work showing that this range already exists at the beginning of the CMIP5 historical simulations.
J.-F. Exbrayat   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

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